Sat Bubble With Aces

[Steroid Boy]

8 left 6 get seats i was on the fence on if i could fold in

Table '55249561 1' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: soccerball (11090 in chips)
Seat 2: xbz112 (7075 in chips)
Seat 3: Steroid Boy (3660 in chips)
Seat 4: Fubak (1895 in chips)
Seat 5: Zatok (5465 in chips)
Seat 6: LepRecon777 (14115 in chips)
Seat 8: monkeyboy189 (7780 in chips)
Seat 9: Tillspeck (2920 in chips)
soccerball: posts the ante 50
xbz112: posts the ante 50
Steroid Boy: posts the ante 50
Fubak: posts the ante 50
Zatok: posts the ante 50
LepRecon777: posts the ante 50
monkeyboy189: posts the ante 50
Tillspeck: posts the ante 50
LepRecon777: posts small blind 400
monkeyboy189: posts big blind 800
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Steroid Boy [Ac Ad]
Tillspeck: folds
soccerball: folds
xbz112: folds
Steroid Boy: ????

[registrar]

I'm useless at sats but I don't think you can fold in here so shove.

[xxGreat1xx]

um....shove and take the blinds down. Please say you didnt fold

[ItalianFX]

You have to take the chance here. I doubt you'll fold in here and the only opportunity you have is right now because you may not see a worthwhile hand that "could" help you for awhile.

I would probably push and hope for the best.

[seke2]

You don't have enough chips to fold in safely. Here you will have first in vigorish and you obv don't mind getting called because the doubleup will likely put you in position that you can fold in. I think even if you had 2 microstacks in play here, you'd probably still want to push this.

[killerbe123]

remember everyone is thinking the same as you - "i want that seat"

IMO they would be tighter and give you more respect in this posistion therefore i am pushing 4-6x depending on previous bets.

[SamC489]

barely sixth in chips and 6 seats pay= push. If you folded that is horrendous.

[Sherman]

The correct answer partially depends on how terrible everyone else plays. I mean, theoretically, you could be approximately 6/8 to get a seat right now, which is pretty damn good. If it is that good, does pushing AA here increase or decrease your chances of getting a seat?

So the question is, what is the probability that you can win a seat by folding?

What is the probability that you shove and lose?
What is the probability that you win a seat if you shove and win?

Obviously the math requires some estimation, but FWIW, I'd shove.

[SonofDjugashvili]

There is no question here. You are too short to fold in - you will be forced to play something worse later. Easy shove and pray for a call. Then fold in. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[Ravi]

With your stack push, if you had a stack like LepRecon777 probably fold.