NLTRN $6 I'm so lost...

chrismystero · #1 11-02-2007, 02:44 AM

very first hand

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (2 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero (t1500)
BB (t1500)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Hero raises to t60, BB calls t40.

Flop: (t120) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t80, BB calls t80.

Turn: (t280) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t155, BB raises to t310, Hero calls t155.

River: (t900) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets t1050 (All-In), Hero is confused...

ChicagoRy · #2 11-02-2007, 02:50 AM

45, worse two pair or air IMO.

I call here first hand, I think you're ahead of his range.

waxhax0rs · #3 11-02-2007, 02:52 AM

[ QUOTE ]
45, worse two pair or air IMO.

I call here on any hand, I think you're WAYYYYYYYY ahead of his range.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP

Easiest call of the month imo.

pokercurious · #4 11-02-2007, 02:56 AM

I think this is an easy call here - the turn raise is a little scary here, but the river shove could very easily be a frustrated shove.

What are the hands you need to worry about? 66, 33, 45, maybe 99 (discounted because you have a 9 and also probably raises some percentage of the time preflop). We can probably safely ignore KK as well

You need to have more than 1050/3000 = 35% equity in the pot here to call the river shove.

Just using the above hands that beat you and the other 2 pair possibilities including a K, your equity:

Board: Kc 6d 3c 2s 9s

Wins Ties Equity
40.91% 4.55% 45.45% ( Kd9c )
50.00% 4.55% 54.55% ( 66 33 45 K6 K3 K2 K9 )

So this is a call even ignoring all the KQ type hands here.

Now, I feel like the turn bet should have been a bit bigger, and I don't really know if flat-calling the turn there is the best idea, but I'll let people smarter than I address that.

ChicagoRy · #5 11-02-2007, 03:04 AM

It's such a clear call if you weight the likelihood of hands like 66, 33 being played this way.

I mean, there's a chance, just like there's a chance he has 99 or even 22 here, but much more likely he does this with the hands we talked about or air.

waxhax0rs · #6 11-02-2007, 03:09 AM

This doesn't even include the stupid junk unknowns will call you with on the 1st hand. WAYYYYYYYYY ahead.

chrismystero · #7 11-02-2007, 03:28 AM

yea, all true definitely a call.

thanks guys

/thread

PS: he had 66, It seems I'm just being results oriented.

HokieGreg · #8 11-02-2007, 11:14 AM

Very easy call.

If river is a brick it might be an easy fold against a lot of villains.

Turn minraises are scary though I will admit that.