50NL - Value bet river?

[mookboi]

Villain is 21/7/1.31 over 334 hands. 32/58 showdown. Bets river 48% time.

I really wanna raise, but gah. Do you guys raise or take the cheap SD?

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $11.30
BB: $74.65
UTG: $46.90
MP: $27.35
Hero (CO): $112.65
BTN: $43.10

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $0.50, MP folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.50</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $2.00, UTG calls $2.00

Flop: ($7.75) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5.50</font>, BB calls $5.50, UTG folds

Turn: ($18.75) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $15.25</font>, BB calls $15.25

River: ($49.25) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $4.00</font>, Hero calls $4.00

Pot Size: $57.25 ($2.70 Rake)

[whyzze]

I dont think he calls a raise on a 4flush board with the 9h or worse...or a set...or a two pair.

If I were to raise...it would be a minraise and I would fold to a 3bet.

[canavarr]

i would take the cheap showdown, he will call your raise only with Ah or Kh, as you know where all the other broadway hearts are at. you beat 9h only, and i don't think he will call your raise with that...

[mookboi]

Dude that makes no sense. If i'm raising, it's like to 34.

[orig!naL]

Take the SD. The last thing you want to do here is raise.

[canavarr]

[ QUOTE ]
Dude that makes no sense. If i'm raising, it's like to 34.

[/ QUOTE ]

what do you think he will call your raise with? 9h? set? if you min-raise maybe those hands might call, but if you raise to 34, no hand you beat will call

[lippy]

That bet screams, "RAISE ME! RAISE ME!"

[canavarr]

[ QUOTE ]
That bet screams, "RAISE ME! RAISE ME!"

[/ QUOTE ]
on the contrary, that bet screams i wan't cheap showdown, please call me, if you raise me i'll fold...

[DaycareInferno]

i thought that beat screamed "KILL YOUR PARENTS", but maybe its just me.

[mookboi]

Thanks for responses, after thinking 'bout it for a bit, and reading responses, yeah I think calling is the right thing to do here b/c he's not calling raise w anything I'm ahead of.

Either way, homeboy flipped over 66 with 6h. I stacked the rest of him an orbit later.