PF-decision with JJ NL50

xoom · #1 11-15-2007, 07:24 AM

This is early in the session, my only read is that villain seems solid and aggressive. He is running 23/20 for the first 30 hands.

No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: £0.10/£0.20
6 players

Stack sizes:
UTG: £21
UTG+1: £60.99
CO: £5.07
Hero: £33.39
SB: £28.25
BB: £9.40

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG raises to £1, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Hero raises to £4, 2 folds, UTG raises to £13, CO folds, Hero?

Lego05 · #2 11-15-2007, 07:27 AM

Fold. I don't see him 4betting you light here without history.

Nemesis69 · #3 11-15-2007, 07:29 AM

13 - 4 = $9
$21 / $9 = 2,33 --> No setmining.

I think, you can throw it away.

Lego05 · #4 11-15-2007, 07:30 AM

Your pre-flop 3bet is a bit big btw. $3.5 - $3.75 would be fine.

matrix · #5 11-15-2007, 07:38 AM

I fold this.

he's dumped over half his stack in preflop and the rest is going in on the flop - no matter what flops and before we get to act.

If you think you are ahead of AK push - but there are 18combos of QQ+ and only 16 combos of AK. I'd push AK here or QQ but I fold JJ.

If his range here IS QQ+/AK we are 35% to win overall

there is £19 in dead money - we risk £17 to possibly win £27 - not quite enough.

If he had 100bb a push is (just) +EV as he's slightly short it's not worth it.

xoom · #6 11-15-2007, 07:45 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Your pre-flop 3bet is a bit big btw. $3.5 - $3.75 would be fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Really? Without a caller I usually make it 3x his raise - £3. So with a caller in-between £4 seems about right to me?

Lego05 · #7 11-15-2007, 07:46 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Your pre-flop 3bet is a bit big btw. $3.5 - $3.75 would be fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Really? Without a caller I usually make it 3x his raise - £3. So with a caller in-between £4 seems about right to me?

[/ QUOTE ]

Didn't see the caller. $4 is good...could even make it a bit more.

Sorry.

xoom · #8 11-15-2007, 07:47 AM

And this should be an easy fold it looks like. I was on semi-tilt and figured that I might be good due to his aggressiveness preflop. He called with QQ.