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  #51  
Old 06-18-2007, 12:47 AM
cbloom cbloom is offline
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Default Re: reducing variance: the sklansky bux swap

cowpig is right, all-in equity is a very very small part of overall variance.
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  #52  
Old 06-18-2007, 12:58 AM
all_in_lam all_in_lam is offline
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Default Re: reducing variance: the sklansky bux swap

you guys are retarded. all-in equity is such a small part of your overall +/- EV in a game...

what about the times you bet and he folds and you take the pot.. how do you account for that dummy
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  #53  
Old 06-18-2007, 02:48 PM
Jehaim Jehaim is offline
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Default Re: reducing variance: the sklansky bux swap

A group with only shortstackers would be ideal I think.


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  #54  
Old 06-18-2007, 03:04 PM
75s 75s is offline
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Default Re: reducing variance: the sklansky bux swap

I think a better way is to have deal making/card showing available in cash games.
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  #55  
Old 06-19-2007, 11:59 PM
ImsaKidd ImsaKidd is offline
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Default Re: reducing variance: the sklansky bux swap

[ QUOTE ]
Today i was -2.5 buyins in equity according to the calc, but I ran at my normal winrate. All-in equity is NOT a major contributor to variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

So you got money in bad, but still ran the same?

Nice sample size.
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  #56  
Old 06-20-2007, 01:52 AM
Wizzy33 Wizzy33 is offline
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Default Re: reducing variance: the sklansky bux swap

[ QUOTE ]
Today i was -2.5 buyins in equity according to the calc, but I ran at my normal winrate. All-in equity is NOT a major contributor to variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

All-in equity is obviously not 100% of what makes up "variance" but its certainly is a major part of it.
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  #57  
Old 06-20-2007, 02:04 AM
NoahSD NoahSD is offline
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Default Re: reducing variance: the sklansky bux swap

Please make HSNL invite only or something. It's really pathetic that a simple idea like this gets so many dumb responses.
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  #58  
Old 06-20-2007, 10:26 AM
xorbie xorbie is offline
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Default Re: reducing variance: the sklansky bux swap

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
over the short run, bad players are more likely to "run bad" than they are to "run good". i'm fairly sure of this. over the long run it should obviously even out.

[/ QUOTE ]

you're just taking equity vs outcome after players are all in. it doesn't matter at all how the players are playing before the money goes in or how good or bad their equity is once the money goes in.

[/ QUOTE ]

if i continuously get it in w/ 2 or 3 outs, i am more likely to hit less than expectation over the shortrun. so i will either run slightly bad or occasionally very, very good.
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