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#22
09-05-2007, 02:29 PM
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Re: Live 4/8 - c/r the turn for value?
FWIW If I put opponents on likely hands, I have more than 30% equity on the turn:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 40 games 0.005 secs 8,000 games/sec Board: 5s 6s 9h 5d Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 32.500% 32.50% 00.00% 13 0.00 { 7s4s } Hand 1: 65.000% 65.00% 00.00% 26 0.00 { AcAd } Hand 2: 01.250% 00.00% 01.25% 0 0.50 { Td9d } Hand 3: 01.250% 00.00% 01.25% 0 0.50 { Ah9c } I know this is a little idealistic, but still - if these numbers are close to accurate getting an extra bet on the turn is +ev. 
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#23
09-05-2007, 02:33 PM
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Re: Live 4/8 - c/r the turn for value?
[ QUOTE ]
There is a total of 0 FE here... [/ QUOTE ] thats a good thing.
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#24
09-05-2007, 03:08 PM
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Re: Live 4/8 - c/r the turn for value?
[ QUOTE ]
FWIW If I put opponents on likely hands [/ QUOTE ] If you don't use ranges, then it's possible to cook up all sorts of funny spots. The problem here is that there is a range of possible hands that hurt your equity a lot. Sometimes those hands will be out there. Often they will not be. Kinda like Schrödinger's cat...
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#25
09-05-2007, 04:03 PM
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Re: Live 4/8 - c/r the turn for value?
True - I chose the range I did due to the read I had on my opponents at the time. No one looked like they had a 5 and I suspect that even the A9 and T9 are optimistic based on my opponents. More likely pocket dueces and KJo or something like that was out there. I was very sure that preflop raiser had a big pair based on his play.
It was good to meet you last night. Give me a couple of weeks and I'll be back sitting at 8-16 with ya.
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