Delayed value bet

[Barrin6]

Note villain is 50bb

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $103.85
BB: $89.90
UTG: $151.80
Hero (MP): $199
CO: $329.50
BTN: $226

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7</font>, SB calls $6, BB calls $5

Flop: ($21) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $15</font>, SB calls $15, BB folds

Turn: ($51) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($51) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $32</font>

Villain is bad. 30/15/2 with 30 bet river %

My plan was to check turn and shove river if he had bet. I didn't want to double barrel because most fish wouldn't call 2 barrels on flop and turn with worst hands but they will on flop and river.

The only thing I have to worry about is J9 and KJ as draws where I could be missing alot of value. But with a bad player like this, maybe I could assume his range has worst?

[Imrahil]

Why not bet the turn so you can get all the monies in when he thinks his T is good or thinks he can peel again w/ his OESD or GS + overs?

[thac]

If you bet like 25 on the turn, he'll be unlikely to fold a 10, and even though we're giving draws good odds, there's not many draws and we can play accordingly if a high card comes on the river. It also leaves like 55 left on the river which makes for a pretty easy shove on most rivers.

[Panthro]

def sissy bet the turn. He'll call again w/ Tx/KJ/J9/??

[sh58]

this play can be good if we have the board crushed, but here there are plently of hands that will pay us off on the flop and turn, then you geta free chance on the river to get some value

[Barrin6]

ok so general consensus is bet small on turn and shove river.

k thanksss

[Casper05]

50BB is much more likely to stack off here with any T...just bet the turn small so your river bet can be more.

As played, if he's calling 32 he's also calling 42