Week 3 NCAA Picks

[Austiger]

Took the plunge on Michigan -7 -120

Can anyone comment on this line compared to -7.5 -110? Is the 1/2 pt worth it generally speaking?

[sanmarcosrun1]

As was pointed out to me before as I looked like an idiot. The half point is worth it as the value in tying makes it worthwhile. The line was available on sportsbook -7 for like 30 minutes yesterday morning when I got it.

[MyTurn2Raise]

[ QUOTE ]
legendz had +17 -110

[/ QUOTE ]

[TomCollins]

[ QUOTE ]
I am just LOVING TCU tonight.

Texas Christian:

* TCU are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* TCU are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.

Air Force:

* AIRFC are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games on Grass.
* Over is 8-2 in AIRFC last 10 games as an underdog.
* AIRFC are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.



More analysis I aleady have to follow, but damn I like them tonight.

I think they're gonna just crush...TCU crushed'em the last two and I think it's going to be MOTS.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't forget that TCU owns the Big XII.

[Limpfold]

It seems Dr Bob just released his plays, from what I can see he's on Kansas, UCLA and Mississippi State.
Add Kentucky to that, no clue what's plays and what's leans.

[johnnylovescandy]

[ QUOTE ]
re: Texas vs UCF, I think the line movement is due to the assumption of an overly large HFA for UCF in this game. They're debuting a new/large stadium, which (I think) is the first time they've had an ON-campus stadium.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is correct, and it's bad-ass. Used to play downtown at Citrus Bowl...

[Austiger]

[ QUOTE ]
It seems Dr Bob just released his plays, from what I can see he's on Kansas, UCLA and Mississippi State.
Add Kentucky to that, no clue what's plays and what's leans.

[/ QUOTE ]

Right before I went to bet Kentucky too. It plummeted to +4.5 on betonline.

[MyTurn2Raise]

[ QUOTE ]
Took the plunge on Michigan -7 -120

Can anyone comment on this line compared to -7.5 -110? Is the 1/2 pt worth it generally speaking?

[/ QUOTE ]


I always use the pinnacle dropdown to estimate these things
right now, they have -111 v -125, so 14 cents
seems like the 10 cents is worth it in this case then

[funkytown]

I like West Virginia Thursday -17. I know that's a big number to lay on the road, but Maryland had a tough time offensively against dog sh*t Florida Intn'l last week only getting 270 yards and 14 first downs. This West Virginia team can put up big numbers in a hurry.

I also like Notre Dame +7.5. With Henne injured last week, I think ND can keep it close with their solid defense.

And finally, USC -10 at Nebraska just simply based upon how inept the Huskers looked at times against Wake last week. Also, anytime you give Pete Carroll 2 weeks to prepare against you, he's going to kill you!

[dmoney416]

Adding:

Toledo +24.5 (1.65u to win 1.5): Dr. Bob forced my hand on this one. This line is just too damn high.