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  #281  
Old 10-25-2007, 03:01 PM
cmoke cmoke is offline
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Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

Was at a 1-2 nl game at T.I. a month ago and was in a hand with a pretty tight player. He bets half the pot, I call with nut flush and gutshot draw. Turn is a blank, he pushes about 1.5 of the pot, I flash my cards (frustration at the night of futility I was enjoying) and muck.

Guy next to me says "good fold, you had about a 20% chance of making the flush" I say "I think it is closer to 25% but whatever" "no, no" he says "I read it in several books, with one card to go you only have 20%" I say "well, there are 4 suits, right? and 1/4 is 25% right??!!!" "Well, yes, I don't know the exact math behind it, but this has been proven by simulations and these are facts from people like Doyle Brunson" To this day I don't know if he was trying to put on the dumb guy act which I do sometimes or if he really believed it. He kept spouting facts and figures the whole night, but he never made money nor did he bust out so I don't know.
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  #282  
Old 10-25-2007, 03:07 PM
that_pope that_pope is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Casino AZ
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Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

[ QUOTE ]
Was at a 1-2 nl game at T.I. a month ago and was in a hand with a pretty tight player. He bets half the pot, I call with nut flush and gutshot draw. Turn is a blank, he pushes about 1.5 of the pot, I flash my cards (frustration at the night of futility I was enjoying) and muck.

Guy next to me says "good fold, you had about a 20% chance of making the flush" I say "I think it is closer to 25% but whatever" "no, no" he says "I read it in several books, with one card to go you only have 20%" I say "well, there are 4 suits, right? and 1/4 is 25% right??!!!" "Well, yes, I don't know the exact math behind it, but this has been proven by simulations and these are facts from people like Doyle Brunson" To this day I don't know if he was trying to put on the dumb guy act which I do sometimes or if he really believed it. He kept spouting facts and figures the whole night, but he never made money nor did he bust out so I don't know.

[/ QUOTE ]

So were you playing the dumb guy act, or do you really think it is 25% (to hit your flush that is, you had slightly better with your gutshot as well)?
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  #283  
Old 10-25-2007, 03:09 PM
UATrewqaz UATrewqaz is offline
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Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

Leveled?

9/46 ~= 0.19565
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  #284  
Old 10-25-2007, 04:24 PM
bav bav is offline
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Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

[ QUOTE ]
Leveled?

9/46 ~= 0.19565

[/ QUOTE ]
Apparently he was out cmoking in the boy's room when they taught this in math class.
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  #285  
Old 10-25-2007, 05:48 PM
jeffnc jeffnc is offline
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Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

[ QUOTE ]
in a local full table 1/2 nlhe game i get AA utg. the table is mega loose so i pop it to 12 and get 3 callers. flop is k104 no flush draw. i bet out 40 and the last caller goes all in for like 40 more. i am pist off but got to call this uber donk.

As i am putting chips in i ask if he has k10...he shakes his head and turns over k4o

i was tilty so i berate him a little and he replies, " you only raised $12 preflop."

[/ QUOTE ]

If that's what he said, then technically he has a point.
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  #286  
Old 10-25-2007, 07:33 PM
bellatrix bellatrix is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: CA
Posts: 333
Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

I like the reasons everybody gives to play their "favorite" hands and how their favorite hands are normally quite horrible.

Like justifying playing 73o, because Joe Hachem won the Main Event with it.
Like 23o, because nobody would put you on it, when you actually hit.

These would be mostly funny anecdotes were it not for the fact that some people CONSTANTLY play their favorite hands. Like on lady always plays KT, her favorite hand. She has such a proud smile about it, too. So when you cap and she calls, she's probably playing (QQ+,AKs... +KT(o) ).

After the talk of the favorite hands, often people ask me what my favorite hand is. I never thought about that, so I just say AA... "Oh, that is so lame!" was the answer. I guess I'm lame.
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  #287  
Old 10-25-2007, 08:50 PM
Xanthro Xanthro is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 374
Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

[ QUOTE ]
Was at a 1-2 nl game at T.I. a month ago and was in a hand with a pretty tight player. He bets half the pot, I call with nut flush and gutshot draw. Turn is a blank, he pushes about 1.5 of the pot, I flash my cards (frustration at the night of futility I was enjoying) and muck.

Guy next to me says "good fold, you had about a 20% chance of making the flush" I say "I think it is closer to 25% but whatever" "no, no" he says "I read it in several books, with one card to go you only have 20%" I say "well, there are 4 suits, right? and 1/4 is 25% right??!!!" "Well, yes, I don't know the exact math behind it, but this has been proven by simulations and these are facts from people like Doyle Brunson" To this day I don't know if he was trying to put on the dumb guy act which I do sometimes or if he really believed it. He kept spouting facts and figures the whole night, but he never made money nor did he bust out so I don't know.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not sure if this is a level or not, but if it's not. You need to be aware that he was correct and you are wrong.

While there are four suits, because you have a flush draw, more of them are not in the deck, so your odds of hitting go down.
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  #288  
Old 10-25-2007, 10:37 PM
JMX JMX is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 311
Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

I don't play live too often, so I don't have any really good ones.

A friend of mine overheard this, and he wasn't sure if it was true or not (lol): "J9 is a better starting hand than JT because there's a better chance of a straight"

/head asplode
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  #289  
Old 10-26-2007, 12:46 AM
JTrout JTrout is offline
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Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

"I like to play small cards, because there are more of them and it's easier to hit the flop"
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  #290  
Old 10-26-2007, 02:21 AM
PokerHatesMe PokerHatesMe is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 303
Default Re: The Worst Strategy You\'ve Overheard at a Table

[ QUOTE ]
I heard a 5/10 player say this, at Motor City poker room in Detroit Michigan, two days ago. "I hope for the miracle cards."

[/ QUOTE ]

Was he short and asian wearing a hat? I think your talking about Jerry Yang. FTW !
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