100NL: Numerous small draws vs. loose player.

[Sean Fraley]

The only hand I've of note that has happened previously at this table is posted here. Villain is the button in that hand.

Villain is 78/31/(1/1.3/oo) as of this hand. I've got the button and have decided to 3-bet him light here. My 3-bet represents something strong and this board might be kind of scary for villain which might give me some good fold equity, on the other hand villain has seen showdown 40% of the time. Do I have enough fold equity to make shoving my two overs+gutshot+backdoor NFD profitable, or do I need to bail?

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $140
BB: $108.35
UTG: $273.10
Hero (BTN): $100

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $3</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $15</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $12

Flop: ($31.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $20</font>, <font color="blue">Hero ???</font>

[hotbacon]

Shoving would be terrible.
Look at his stats, do you think he's ever folding anything here?
But if you had 66 it would be time for value town obv.

[Sean Fraley]

[ QUOTE ]
Shoving would be terrible.
Look at his stats, do you think he's ever folding anything here?
But if you had 66 it would be time for value town obv.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is there any merit to calling here since this is a c-bet and with his raising range ace high might be best here, and I may pick up some more equity on the turn. The downside would be that the pot would make folding TP or a combo draw difficult if I do improve in some fashion on the turn.

[spivey]

Shoving would suck. Why do you think this board would be scary to villain? He's an idiot and is probably going all the way with literally any pocket pair on this board.