I donk bluff the river

Tryptamean · #1 06-27-2007, 09:39 PM

Really not sure about this one... Villian is "unjust" TAG 27/18/1.9 over 185 hands. It takes me a while to get notes on a TAG and this guy has not done anything unusual.

PokerStars 10/20 Hold'em (3 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
Button raises, Hero 3-bets, BB calls, Button calls.

Flop: (9 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, BB calls, Button calls.

Turn: (6 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, BB folds, Button raises, Hero calls.

River: (10 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)

Hero tanks for a bit, looks at the pot, figures this is usually going to be a scare card for him, figures a whiffed semi-bluff or fsdr is a decent part of his range and......

bets

good, bad, marginal? I usually don't make these plays so I really don't know

mntbikr15 · #2 06-27-2007, 10:43 PM

I vote marginal...although if youre going with stats than showdown stats would help more Id think(I dont use them)

Leader · #3 06-28-2007, 01:48 AM

I like it. There's a lot of flush/str8/A-high/55/44 type hands that might fold. 11-1 pretty good odds

boc4life · #4 06-28-2007, 02:46 AM

Gotta do this against the right opponent. Sounds like you picked a good one to do it against, and you found a good spot for it

roflnub · #5 06-28-2007, 03:49 AM

I think only busted draws and A high hands might fold. More reads on villain would be useful (does he ever bluff on the turn? does he make free sd raises? can he fold A high when 1 highcard comes?). Anyway against the right opponent it is a good play.

vmacosta · #6 06-28-2007, 02:24 PM

This river card is not really all that scary. When you called the turn raise he'll be assuming/hoping you have Ax. So I don't know villain but if I were him and I could beat A6 I would call. Rest is just guessing his turn raising range and pstove. No time to do it right now sorry.