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NL200: AK. Is it profitable to make move here?
First of villain:
NL 200 is very populated on party now so no real reads on villain, only stats. villain, 12k hands: 18/9.5/2.4 (2.8/1.8/2.3) winrate 1.65 ptbb/100, won SD 56/went to sd 24 (wtf?). There is a poster here so we expecting large reisolation range from him (is this reasonable?). I think about pushing him on flop because on this kinda dry flop we maybe can make to fold 88-JJ and AK so investing 150 to try to win 100 here can be profitable. The question is that one - is flop push best decision? What about flop fold? What about calling flop and float on the turn? Can we make him to bluff with AQ this way? Input is really apriciated. Party Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $1/$2 6 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $449.40 UTG+1: $143.15 Hero: $220.75 Button: $65.85 SB: $255.15 BB: $537.69 Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] UTG, folds, UTG+1 (poster) checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $10</font>, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises to $28</font>, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls. Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($59, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">BB bets $44</font>, Hero need help here. |
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