Botting the NHL - Page 4

Hockey Hands · #31 10-28-2007, 07:09 AM

Hi.I am new to Two Plus Two and this is my first post. I love to bet on hockey. What are your thoughts on the Party Poker Sportsbook for betting the NHL?

MrBlueNose · #32 10-28-2007, 02:37 PM

In rush to post today as games start soon - will tally up later:

Today:
Detroit/Vancouver over 5 -131
Minnesota/Colorado over 5.5 +106
Detroit -127 to beat Vancouver
Over 15.5 goals today - -124

All OTI.

Hockey Hands - in regard to Party Bets, are you in US or non-US? It's really a case of the odds. Do line shopping via oddschecker - http://www.oddschecker.com/ice-hockey

ata · #33 10-28-2007, 04:21 PM

I love hockey, I love gambling and I love statistical analysis.... this sounds great - I will be following along. Anything you can begin to start sharing about your methods?

Hockey Hands · #34 10-29-2007, 05:35 AM

I am non-US. Thanks for the link.

MrBlueNose · #35 10-29-2007, 01:32 PM

On Saturday we went 1-2, for an 0.36 loss, to bring the record to 13-9, +8.96 units. Horrible day Sunday with the totals, and we went 1-3, to bring us to 14-12 for October, +6.41 units. I had a hard time in the WNBA with the totals - hopefully it won't be the same with the NHL. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

ata - things are changing fairly regularly in regard to values and how much particular statistics matter, so not prepared to go into it just yet. I use a formula though that takes the results of previous games, and finds trends in the stats as well as hopefully calculating the estimated % each stat has that affects a teams winning %. Bah - got my daughter crying in the background here so hard to think [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Hopefully that made sense. I'll go into more detail eventually, once I notice some set trends/factors.

Tonight take New York Rangers -0.5 IRT @ +103. I have Rangers covering this about 63% of the time, unfortunately with their unreliable offense, can't recommend more units.

ata · #36 10-29-2007, 06:33 PM

Wasn't your over bet on Det/Van a push?

MrBlueNose · #37 10-29-2007, 07:42 PM

You are correct [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Thank you, and it makes it a 1-1-1 night for a profit instead! That's a lot better than what we had. Sigh - don't know how I keep making basic mistakes like that. Thanks ata [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

bevo_stevo · #38 10-29-2007, 10:27 PM

Umm ...

Detroit/Vancouver over 5 -131 (PUSH)
Minnesota/Colorado over 5.5 +106 (LOSS)
Detroit -127 to beat Vancouver (WIN)
Over 15.5 goals today - -124 (LOSS)

1-2-1 (-1.24)

ata · #39 10-29-2007, 10:49 PM

I took that NYR bet which worked out well... then added in the Leafs at -0.5 IRT at -107 since they're coming home on a hot streak with Toskala on a tear and Washington had a bunch of injuries.... obv that was an easy recipe for disaster.

MrBlueNose · #40 10-29-2007, 10:52 PM

Geez - what the hell is wrong with me? Thanks stevo - I'll be sure to double & triple check it all from now on. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]