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#391
11-22-2007, 07:57 PM
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Re: ******** November Omaha Low Content Thread ********
[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, 20bb/100 (10PTBB/100) is sustainable long-term for a good player if the games are soft enough. I've got over 50K hands at 0.50/1 and below and I'm averaging 27.8bb/100. PTBB is usually the standard on this forum though and while you can easily hit 20 PTBB/100 for 10K hands or so if you're running well, I don't think that can be sustainable. [/ QUOTE ] From your stats posted here and seeing you win AA53 vs AAJJds, I know you are running shortterm hot in allins. And that could help explain a big winrate shorterm. I have an academic interest though in knowing how hot (+EV) one could possibly be for allins over the full 50k (or 20, 30k etc) hands. In theory, I think the allin luck should converge to a normal distribution after 100-150 allins (red vs blue lines in Allin luck on PokerEV). And then run pretty close to at EV thereafter. 
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#392
11-22-2007, 08:08 PM
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Re: ******** November Omaha Low Content Thread ********
Oh well, there goes my theory:
 Over a randomly selected long time period, I'm running 56% of what I should be. I guess there are different types of allin, technically I'd have to go in a calibrate by effective stack size of the allin. Just for fun in dollars: 
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#394
11-22-2007, 08:29 PM
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Re: ******** November Omaha Low Content Thread ********
[ QUOTE ]
Wow Troll. How did you feel like in between hand 35 and 75? [/ QUOTE ] I don't recall those hands exactly but I think that's when I was like "5/10 is pretty damn easy too bad I'm not really rolled for it."
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#396
11-22-2007, 09:38 PM
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Re: ******** November Omaha Low Content Thread ********
[ QUOTE ]
It's also worth noting that your expected allin winnings on that graph is around zero dollars, which suggests you're doing some gambling. [/ QUOTE ] I think you have this wrong, my expected total earn if I had run exactly at expectation in all-ins is about zero dollars. So I am probably playing worse than normal anyway, which doesn't surprise me, but only bad enough to be about breakeven.
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#397
11-22-2007, 09:40 PM
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Re: ******** November Omaha Low Content Thread ********
in other words, I'm sure I am doing some gambling, but I don't think that's evident from the graph
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#398
11-22-2007, 09:42 PM
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Re: ******** November Omaha Low Content Thread ********
[ QUOTE ]
cleaned up at PLO100 just now. not quite back on track but what the heck im getting there. i just really hate my 22/8/0.8 stats but they seem to do the trick... [/ QUOTE ] My apologies for the earlier misconstrued BB vs PTBB. I've sustained 8 PTBB/100 over my first 30K hands, and I'm not very good (yet) imo. So 10PTBB is easily within reach and not unrealistic at all.
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#399
11-22-2007, 10:01 PM
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Re: ******** November Omaha Low Content Thread ********
I think I just attract donks wherever I go.
Full Tilt Poker Pot Limit Omaha Ring game Blinds: $1/$2 6 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $208.50 UTG+1: $198 CO: $80 Button: $319.20 hero: $546.70 BB: $475.75 Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is SB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 folds, Button calls, hero calls, BB checks. Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($6, 3 players) hero checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Button bets $7</font>, hero calls, BB folds. Turn: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($20, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">hero bets $21</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises to $84</font>, <font color="#cc0000">hero raises to $206</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises all-in $310.2</font>, hero calls. River: 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($640.4, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $640.4) Results: Final pot: $640.4 Button showed Jc 8d 9d 5c hero showed 4c 7c 7h 3c
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#400
11-22-2007, 10:31 PM
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Re: ******** November Omaha Low Content Thread ********
[ QUOTE ]
i just really hate my 22/8/0.8 stats but they seem to do the trick... [/ QUOTE ] You seem to be playing very weak-tight. Try playing and raising more hands PF (you should be playing at least around 30/15), semibluffing postflop, and making thinner value bets. Doing these things should help your game a lot.
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