Miami to NOT go 0-16 prop

[Yowserrrs]

lol...sorry new to the site and just assumed that this was post Pitt game...if they were offering -700 three games ago then Yes that was a GREAT price...if it was -700 now that would not be a good bet....just ballparking it I think the correct price is -500 which I believe is where it is now....I still contend that any series of probabilities that return >90% chance of Miami winning a game this season are grossly flawed.

[Yowserrrs]

Obv this is a bet where one cannot make a sig amt of $ due to cap so why dont we discuss some real opportunities...like how many units is everyone putting on the Jets here?

[TooTallT]

Why would anybody put money on the wrong side at a bad price?

[kyro]

yowserss,

There's only 5 games left. I would be really interested in your opinion of the Dolphins chances to win each game assuming each team stands pat with their rosters.

[Yowserrrs]

the standard deviation on those and any other estimates is enormous as im sure you savy bettors understand...my strategy would be to try and single out 2 games / 5 remaining that I think Miami has a good chance of winning (>45%). if you can do that, then you can make this bet easily.