120 live JJ

iblucky4u2 · #1 10-16-2007, 01:39 PM

live MTT - about 45 left from 76 - 10 make the money
Villan 3,800
Hero 6,800
Average stack about 8,200

I've been card dead for several rounds and every time I'm CO or on the button someone raises in front of me [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Villan has pushed several times and showed KQ, KJ or KXs type of hands when called. The SOB has been behind on every hand and sucked out.

Last hand with Blinds 400/800/100 about to go to 600/800

Villan hesitates then pushes MP. Hero on button looks at JJ. Read on villan is K and another paint card. Do I Call, push to isolate or fold rather than risk 1/2 my stack on probable coin flip?

runhot · #2 10-16-2007, 02:07 PM

easiest shove ever.

rachkane · #3 10-16-2007, 02:08 PM

I would ALWAYS push here.

2p2J · #4 10-16-2007, 02:11 PM

Push it to isolate and flip a coin to take him out. The other option would be to fold and play another day. I don't like a call because someone could get cute with AK or any number of hands and move all-in to isolate him from you!

ZenMusician · #5 10-16-2007, 02:37 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Villan has pushed...KQ, KJ or KXs

or fold rather than risk 1/2 my stack on probable coin flip?

[/ QUOTE ]

If this is your read, how on Earth is this a coinflip
against his range?

-ZEN

iblucky4u2 · #6 10-16-2007, 02:53 PM

You are correct. If he has KQo then I am only 56/43. Anything else I am fist pumping as 2-1 favorite.

The key here is when going against someone who has be sucking out on a consistant basis, how much do you take that into account? There are percentages and then there is the flow of the cards.

Crash0veride · #7 10-16-2007, 02:56 PM

[ QUOTE ]
You are correct. If he has KQo then I am only 56/43. Anything else I am fist pumping as 2-1 favorite.

The key here is when going against someone who has be sucking out on a consistant basis, how much do you take that into account? There are percentages and then there is the flow of the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't take that into account at all because every situation his luck will be different obv. don't be result oriented

erc007 · #8 10-16-2007, 04:32 PM

shove it in there as fast as you can...

sbj · #9 10-16-2007, 04:51 PM

[ QUOTE ]
The key here is when going against someone who has be sucking out on a consistant basis, how much do you take that into account? There are percentages and then there is the flow of the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thinking in that way is a huge leak.

homanga · #10 10-16-2007, 05:02 PM

Shove Hellmuth Style