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  #21  
Old 11-15-2007, 11:19 AM
Runner Runner Runner Runner is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

Pinny shows moneylines of Toronto at -300 and BC at -310 for this weekend's games. I think the moneylines and spreads of -6.5 and -7.5 are fairly correct, though if you put a gun to my head I would bet the dog in either matchup.

I don't know if those future bets are a mistake, but if they aren't there is definitely HUGE value on both WPG and SASK as you would be paid nowhere near those numbers by parlaying the moneylines.

Wpg pays +270 in the semi and probably around the same if they play BC and less (only about a 4-6 pt dog) if they play Sask. This would be +1000 against BC and less against Sask.

Sask pays +280 in the semi and I see them being less then a 3pt dog against Toronto and a fave should Wpg win. There is definite value on them at +950 to win the whole thing.

IMO, that future bet is not an obvious book error, but it's close and there is definite dog value and worth asking the book about before betting it.

By the way, IMO BC is by far the strongest team in the CFL, and I have Sask as being slightly stronger then Toronto. If I were to do power rankings with BC as a 10, I would rank Sask as a 6, Toronto as a 5 and Wpg as a 2.
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  #22  
Old 11-15-2007, 12:59 PM
Runner Runner Runner Runner is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

I just teased Tor and BC down to -0.5 and -1.5 in the division finals since that is quite a bit better then parlaying the moneylines.

Watch BC win by 1 now.
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  #23  
Old 11-15-2007, 04:30 PM
4Tay 4Tay is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

It only takes a rouge (1-pt kick into the end-zone) to win a game.
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  #24  
Old 11-18-2007, 05:15 PM
cardman cardman is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

[ QUOTE ]
Well the 2 teams that are big dogs...If these lines are correct then i'd hammer on both of them. Then i'd bet a parlay with BC and TO to win this weekend to hedge a bit.

[/ QUOTE ]

Winnipeg won. Nice call there.
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  #25  
Old 11-18-2007, 06:53 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Manhattan
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Well the 2 teams that are big dogs...If these lines are correct then i'd hammer on both of them. Then i'd bet a parlay with BC and TO to win this weekend to hedge a bit.

[/ QUOTE ]

Winnipeg won. Nice call there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Saskia won, 2 for 2.
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  #26  
Old 11-18-2007, 08:02 PM
smbruin22 smbruin22 is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

[ QUOTE ]
Saskia won, 2 for 2.

[/ QUOTE ]

am i watching tape delay??.... bets look amazing right now though
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  #27  
Old 11-18-2007, 08:06 PM
Thalum Thalum is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

Still 1 more quarter to go, but they are looking solid
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  #28  
Old 11-18-2007, 08:32 PM
cardman cardman is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

[ QUOTE ]
Still 1 more quarter to go, but they are looking solid

[/ QUOTE ]

2 min 41 sec left. Sask up by 9...
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  #29  
Old 11-18-2007, 08:46 PM
cardman cardman is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Well the 2 teams that are big dogs...If these lines are correct then i'd hammer on both of them. Then i'd bet a parlay with BC and TO to win this weekend to hedge a bit.

[/ QUOTE ]

Winnipeg won. Nice call there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Saskia won, 2 for 2.

[/ QUOTE ]

Both dogs won. Congrats OP.
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  #30  
Old 11-18-2007, 08:59 PM
Mediocre_Player Mediocre_Player is offline
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Default Re: Huge Value in CFL

nice hit OP ... tagged along ftw boop boop!
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