Typical Swings at 50NL?

O.T.G. · #1 11-21-2007, 03:56 AM

The past 2 days (about 6K hands) I've been raised almost every time I c-bet with nothing and force folds when I c-bet with a hand. It sucks to keep getting check raised and re-raised by players with like 0.5 aggression. It sucks when they are hitting 2/3 of their flops instead of 1/3 and are 2:1 to hit their set instead of 7.5:1, etc. etc. Sorry for the rant.

What is a typical downswing for 50NL on FTP and what is a typical number of hands to break even for?

illini43 · #2 11-21-2007, 04:04 AM

Downswings can be pretty bad...

O.T.G. · #3 11-21-2007, 04:05 AM

Any good estimates?

10 buyins? 15 buyins? More?

Break even for 10K hands? 20K hands?

toxzen · #4 11-21-2007, 04:11 AM

12 buy ins my worst.

O.T.G. · #5 11-21-2007, 04:22 AM

That's so gross. The players just donk away with their 1st level thinking, limp and call out of position all day, and we can still lose 12+ buyins to them.

LifeTilt · #6 11-21-2007, 04:22 AM

12-15 buyins will happen. I usually have at least two 6-8 BI downswings per month. It usually starts with some coolers, then gets to full speed with some tilt, and doesn't end until the day 2 coolers are finished.

Forgot to add that I play about 60k hands per month at NL100/200, so maybe go by that?

Lansingg · #7 11-21-2007, 04:31 AM

most i've felt is 5 BU downswing at 25nl

toxzen · #8 11-21-2007, 04:32 AM

lol, yeah. Tilt starts to ensue around 6-8. Once you hit 10 it's like popping your cherry imo. But I think 6-8 is the norm for nl50. Anything over that is usually tilt/playing bad. For me at least.

O.T.G. · #9 11-21-2007, 04:36 AM

Well I've had a 42 buyin downswing in the $12 9-man SNGs after beating the game for a nice ROI over 3000+ SNGs. Weird [censored] can happen, even when you are playing well. It's scary to think that it's possible to go on such a massive downswing.

Ctrl.Dominate · #10 11-21-2007, 04:39 AM

[ QUOTE ]
12-15 buyins will happen. I usually have at least two 6-8 BI downswings per month. It usually starts with some coolers, then gets to full speed with some tilt, and doesn't end until the day 2 coolers are finished.

[/ QUOTE ]

LiftTilt summed it up perfectly. I do have to admit thought that nowadays I can take beats much better than I used to be able to. The swings are a really big part of the game, especially if you play lots of tables.