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#1
11-28-2007, 09:43 AM
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NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet
Villain: 21/15/0 (46)
Party Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter MP: $101.92 CO: $102.75 Hero (BTN): $49.25 SB: $58.48 BB: $37.10 UTG: $38.64 Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN) 2 folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $1.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.25</font>, 2 folds, CO calls $3.75 Flop: ($11.25) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) CO checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $8.50</font>, CO calls $8.50 Turn: ($28.25) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) CO checks, Hero... I reasoned that his range may consisted of about 50% set, 25% draws and 25% pairs, so i checked. What do you think? 
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#2
11-28-2007, 09:47 AM
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Re: NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet
What are you talking about limp calling? He raised didn't he? I pretty sure that doesn't mean he limped. Bet this turn and plan on getting the rest in.
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#3
11-28-2007, 09:50 AM
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Re: NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet
How do you figure that range? There is really only one draw, a set is raising nearly always on the flop. Bet turn for value, let him call with worse.
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#4
11-28-2007, 09:50 AM
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Re: NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet
[ QUOTE ]
Bet this turn and plan on getting the rest in. [/ QUOTE ] 2nd
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#5
11-28-2007, 09:52 AM
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Re: NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet
Why is a set almost always raising on that flop? The people I play think slowplaying is the way you play deep stack poker. There are nearly no draws for a set to worry about. I would say a set raises this flop 50-60% of the time and cr the turn nearly 100% of the time.
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#6
11-28-2007, 09:52 AM
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Re: NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet
I think based on combos alone he's got AJ or a non-set PP far more often than a set on this board. Where are you getting your 50% estimate?
Just bet the turn, no reason to think we're beat here yet and we'll get value from jacks. It's a fairly safe board so I'll go to about $15 and see what he does, most likely calling a push. Any particular reason you're reading this guy as a TAG over 46 hands with no aggression in his stats?
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#7
11-28-2007, 11:23 AM
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Re: NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet
I agree that sets are not nearly a veyr big part of his range, however, I likely check the turn here. The reason is against QQ and AJ I expect he'll usually bet the river after I check the turn and then call my shove anyway. And I think checking behind on the turn is more likely to get greater value out of mostly 77-TT but also possibly any nonpaired cards that he might now bluff on the river (specifically AK/AQ.)
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#9
11-28-2007, 04:03 PM
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Re: NL50: TAG limpcalls my raise OOP and calls my cbet
[ QUOTE ]
I agree that sets are not nearly a veyr big part of his range, however, I likely check the turn here. The reason is against QQ and AJ I expect he'll usually bet the river after I check the turn and then call my shove anyway. And I think checking behind on the turn is more likely to get greater value out of mostly 77-TT but also possibly any nonpaired cards that he might now bluff on the river (specifically AK/AQ.) [/ QUOTE ] DING. i like.
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