Trivially easy preflop spot

[Daddy Warbucks]

Notice shortstack CO blind poster. No stats or reads.

Party Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $56.58
UTG: $52.34
MP: $53.67
CO: $10
BTN: $52.30
SB: $53.08

CO posts $0.50
Pre-Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, CO checks, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero ?

[TheDoubleA]

oh jesus raisy daisy. $2.50 sounds good to me.

[UFGatorGuy]

Raise to $2.50? Is that the question?

[DennisGPunkt]

whats the question here? you really think about just checking here?

[Daddy Warbucks]

If you raise to 2.50, CO has close to only a half pot bet left behind on the flop. Given that he's an OOP poster, how confident are you stacking off on the flop.

[well named]

I would generally assume a shortstacker posting in the CO is bad, and 77 is certainly ahead of his range almost all of the time here, so raise. Most of the time he folds, and if he shoves you call and normally end up flipping for 20bb as a 55% favorite.

You're too good to be slumming down here in uNL anyway [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[matrix]

if shortie posted in teh CO he's just put a free BB on the table that we can win almost always just by raising.

I raise ATC in this spot. If he calls and there's no Ace on the flop I push ATC. (Unless I have an ace in which case I'd push any flop)

if he has an actual hand and calls and beats me I just got me a shiny golden table image for the princely sum of 20bb.

As we have a pp we are a 66% fav vs a random hand I raise it to about $3 100% of the time, if he wants to get 1/3 of his stack in preflop as a likely underdog then good luck to him.

[well named]

[ QUOTE ]
If you raise to 2.50, CO has close to only a half pot bet left behind on the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

By my count he has 7.50 left in a 5.75 pot, so 1.3-ish psb.

I assume that if he calls he almost never has a pocket pair better than sevens, since he would just shove. If we put his range on unpaired cards higher than 7 and you shove every flop he has to win 36% of the time to break even. Since he only makes a pair about 33% of the time I think this should be marginally +EV for you even if he always calls. Given that I doubt he will call a flop shove with 100% of his calling range I think this should be fine.

[Daddy Warbucks]

Good analysis well named and matrix, this is more what i'm looking for.

I open pushed preflop. Opinions?

[Profish2285]

I dont mind a push pre flop, but the problem is youre more than likely folding out alot of hands that would call a normal bet pre flop and then fold to a c-bet.