200: TT in a Weird Spot - all 3 streets

[QTip]

MP2 is a player whom I've only had 2 orbits with here and he's played 63% of his hands like a donk.

sb is dspsphinx who I have 257 hands at 13/8/3.5


Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 8 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $179.75
BB: $203.00
UTG: $71.80
UTG+1: $200.00
MP1: $135.05
MP2: $196.60
CO: $37.00
QTip (BTN): $197.00

Preflop: QTip is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (8 Players)
2 folds, MP1 calls $2.00, MP2 calls $2.00, CO folds, <font color="red">QTip raises to $12.00</font>, SB calls $11.00, 2 folds, MP2 calls $10.00

Flop: ($40) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">MP2 bets $10.00</font>, <font color="red">QTip raises to $55.00</font>, SB calls $55.00, MP2 folds

Turn: ($160) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, QTip checks

River: ($160) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $60.00</font>, QTip folds

Pot Size: $220.00 ($3 Rake)

[Mr_Donktastic]

ack

it really looks like he has JJ or better but you don't have to be good that often to break even.

my hunch is that the decision is pretty neutral but of course i have no maths to back that up

in close spots i favor calling fwiw

[Mr_Donktastic]

other streets look good

[Albert Moulton]

[ QUOTE ]
ack

it really looks like he has JJ or better but you don't have to be good that often to break even.

my hunch is that the decision is pretty neutral but of course i have no maths to back that up

in close spots i favor calling fwiw

[/ QUOTE ]

I think he'll show up with a busted flush draw with overcards or 99 often enough to call the $60 bet on the river. So I'd call $60 at the river.

Otherwise, I think the rest looks good too.

[CalledDownLight]

looks good up to the fold. He never has a 5 or 2 imo, so it comes down to the question of how often he has quads or JJ+. I think its a pretty easy call.