Coments on this hand

[CaptVimes]

Well if villain's a decent standard player the only real hand I'm worried about is 33 and possibly TT. KT is a real stretch from EP for good player. So my range after the flop action is mostly pocket pairs (33,77-JJ), maybe some suited connectors like 9T,JT,45(45 is not very likely imo) and maybe a hand like AT.

Given the weak/tight nature postflop at NL25 the only hands that a decent player might have that might go to the felt would be 33,TT, and maybe JJ. So most of the hands in my range just aren't going to get you a stack. So I think bet sizing becomes more a issue of how much value can we get out of villain rather than let's get it all in we have a set.

So the K hits the turn and this card I think really sucks for our villain if he had a top pair hand on the flop or makes no difference to him if he's drawing or has us beat. A bet here will likely fold out many Tx hands. Checking I think is the best play here in order to get value out of the hands we beat.

The K falling on the river, beside an A,J, or 9 is one of the best cards for us. Why, because now villain discounts the fact that we actually have a king, if he only knew, and I don't think this improved his hand especially when he checks to you again. Plus, now I think we can bet and those Tx hands will be more likely to call.

[ddagt]

I would have raised a little more on flop (not many draws but still wouldn't want a lot of players in so wouldn't have just called). When he calls your raise, he could be thinking you have a T with a decent kicker or 23 (not sure what your image is), so I could see him with AT or maybe KT here.

I would bet again on turn hoping he either thought he had you out-kicked or higher 2 pair. Again here it depends what he thinks of you.