Thursday: A&M at Miami

[lakerman8]

starting a little thread for the thurs night game... any leans? personally i think a&m is a tough team, sagarin says they should be favored by 6. any thoughts?

[NajdorfDefense]

Sagarin is silly, he even admits his numbers don't make sense until later in the season.

Having said that, +3 I took when it opened.

[iggymcfly]

I like Miami because of the matchups. I've had an offer up on Matchbook for a while but only $30 has been taken so far. I moved it a couple cents to try to ensure that I get some action before game time.

[kdog]

Unranked team favored over a ranked team. In hoops the unranked has been a pretty good bet the last few years. Anybody got stats like this for football?

[Austiger]

I don't like much on the board this week, but I do like the Canes.

Miami -2.5 -110

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
I don't like much on the board this week, but I do like the Canes.

Miami -2.5 -110

[/ QUOTE ]

Your lips to god's ears, my friends!

Regardless, I will be doing some heavy drinking whatever the final.

[The4Aces]

TAMU will win this game...
i took TAMU ML

[Alzee]

I took A&M +2 and UNDER 45.5 (2u on each) I am looking at this being a running, slow offensive, clock draining game... Hopefully the 40% chance of rain around game time turns out for me too, further hindering the already sub-par passing game

[prad]

I'm inclined to think that the squares would be all over Miami as a home favorite considering their history (albeit not recent history), which makes me more confident of my A&M pick. No hard data, but I feel the 3 big Florida schools are always heavy favorites of the public, despite their recent results. Also like the under in this game and will tease it this way.

[MicroBob]

[ QUOTE ]
I took A&M +2 and UNDER 45.5 (2u on each) I am looking at this being a running, slow offensive, clock draining game... Hopefully the 40% chance of rain around game time turns out for me too, further hindering the already sub-par passing game

[/ QUOTE ]


good call on the under imo.
This is assuming Miami can stop A&M's offense of course but the weather definitely could play a factor. It's looking stormy down there and is rotating like it could become a storm.
There's a chance it could get pretty crazy and I wouldn't be surprised to see that 40% figure shoot up when they update the forecast as that thing develops and then the O/U can nose-dive a little bit more.

Not just the rain but also wind forecast up to 20mph making the passing game kind of tricky.

It appears others are on this as well. The O/U is dropping a little.

I'm on TAMU +3, -120 and u45, -120