Heisman Prop Bet - Page 3

EvanJC · #21 09-25-2007, 06:49 PM

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domer2 · #22 09-25-2007, 07:12 PM

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If you get 10 at 6:5, it's a pretty good bet no matter what, but I definitely would have put Pat White and Dennis Dixon in there over Bradford or Woodson. Kentucky would have to win the SEC East to give Woodson a shot (very unlikely IMO), and a freshman's not going to win the Heisman no matter what. Meanwhile, Pat White's the best player on a high-profile team that could easily go undefeated and if Oregon beats USC (about 50/50 IMO), Dixon skyrockets to the top of the charts instantly.

I'd say right now, it's something like:
1. Booty
2. White
3. Brennan
4. Tebow
5. Dixon
6. Slaton
7. Rice
8. McFadden
9. Jackson
10. Charles

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If the season ended right now, McFadden would win pretty easily...

funkytown · #23 09-25-2007, 07:48 PM

I would be leery of adding Oregon's QB Dixon. Say what you will, but imho, voters don't like to bet on people whose team has lost more than once. Oregon will drop a game to USC and may drop one to Cal

iggymcfly · #24 09-25-2007, 07:51 PM

Just saying something doesn't make it true. The Hogs have a losing record right now and only one player with a losing record has ever won the Heisman. No way in hell is McFadden the frontrunner. Most of the media types I've heard that actually have votes seem to like Brennan right now, but that won't last if Hawaii doesn't go undefeated, and I think they're going to pick up at least one loss, if not two or three.

iggymcfly · #25 09-25-2007, 07:57 PM

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I would be leery of adding Oregon's QB Dixon. Say what you will, but imho, voters don't like to bet on people whose team has lost more than once. Oregon will drop a game to USC and may drop one to Cal

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I wouldn't have him in my Top 5 if I didn't think Oregon had a very good chance to beat USC. I really do though. If I were to guess an outcome for the season, I'd say Oregon goes 11-1 and reaches the Rose Bowl.

SunOfBeach · #26 09-25-2007, 08:23 PM

I'm pretty sure that I'm +EV with what I locked in... but I feared Brohm and White the most (though not much) when I made the bet, and fear Dixon alot more them either of them now, having read some ideas in here.

Methinks I'm rooting for USC vs Oregon (and Cal vs Oregon this week) more than I thought I would be...

domer2 · #27 09-25-2007, 08:56 PM

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I'm pretty sure that I'm +EV with what I locked in... but I feared Brohm and White the most (though not much) when I made the bet, and fear Dixon alot more them either of them now, having read some ideas in here.

Methinks I'm rooting for USC vs Oregon (and Cal vs Oregon this week) more than I thought I would be...

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FYI, both Dixon and White are 10-1 on Matchbook

kdog · #28 09-26-2007, 02:03 AM

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Tebow
Brennan
Woodson
McFadden
Bradford
Booty
Slaton
Rice
Matt Ryan
Mike Hart

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I'm not sure who I would have added (White???)but I'd have left off Tebow. To win it as a sophomore he would have to be head and shoulders above everyone else in contention. He's not.

iggymcfly · #29 09-26-2007, 02:11 AM

You'd leave off the sophomore over the freshman? I don't know about that. BTW, for OP, here's CFN's latest Heisman breakdown. It's designed to measure who has the best chance of winning the award and not who's most deserving.

kdog · #30 09-26-2007, 02:42 AM

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You'd leave off the sophomore over the freshman? I don't know about that. BTW, for OP, here's CFN's latest Heisman breakdown. It's designed to measure who has the best chance of winning the award and not who's most deserving

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Didn't even register that Bradford is a frosh. I'd leave him off too.