quick 5th st. 15/30/45 stud8

[howzit]

i already ran the math in two dimes but I'd appreciate validation from more experienced stud8 players

me: (43)2 two diamonds. i open compeleted to 15.
seat 1: xx7 calling station calls.
plenty of folds
seat 2: xx8 tight passive calls, closing the action.

fourth:
me: (43)27
seat 1: xx79
seat 2: xx88

seat 2 checks, i bet 15, seat 1 calls, seat 2 calls.

fifth:

me: (43)273
seat 1: 7T5
seat 2: 88T

seat 2 checks, and I check (?), seat 1 will check here 100% of the time if I check and probably call all the time if I bet.

two dimes says if seat 2 only has open 8s, I'm the equity favorite with something like 43:40:17

if seat 2 has two pair, i'm in second with 48:40:12. (i think, can't remember and i'm denied access to 2dimes here)

i doubt seat 2 has trip eights. . .


altho i checked i think i should've bet here because i'll be getting the best of it with the dead money involved and seat 1's love of going to the river?

proper play?

[cgrohman]

I don't know anything, but my gut is telling me that you should check 4th. I am not betting into open eights with just a low draw. Note: I could be very very very wrong.

[Beavis68]

how live where the 5s 6s and 3s?

I would be tempted to bet. you want seat one out and you have some scoop outs.

[electrical]

You say seat One will call if you bet. He is in third place in all likely scenarios, so you want him to put money in. Bet.

[Andy B]

Just a low draw? Just a low draw? What the hell are you looking for? Failing to bet fourth approaches crime-against-humanity territory.

As for the original query, I bet fifth 100% of the time without thinking. Maybe someone folds, and maybe they don't, but you're going to have an equity edge most of the time.

[Sevenfold]

This is auto-bet on 5th.
Given the WORST POSSIBLE scenario
(8A)88T
(A2)5T7
(34)273
you still have a 21% equity in the pot. (losing money, yes, but still given the worst possible cards out there, not too bad).

Also, giving the 7 5 T a free card here is terrible, as he may muck have to muck here with paired 5s.

Besides, I feel a 3 coming on for the scoop. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

[howzit]

thanks everybody. . . it "felt" like a bet at the time BUT i didn't bet because i wasn't sure about my equity at the time and i was pretty sure these players wouldn't fold so I err'ed on the side of caution and checked. i also could've checked behind on sixth if i blanked off.

anyway, if you guys are interested in what happened.
i caught an ace on sixth and bet, got called in both spots.

seventh: i caught another ace and bet, got called in both spots.

scooped with aces up, 74 low.

seat 1 had 76532 low NO PAIR (AIYA!)

seat 2 mucked but I'm pretty sure had eights up, which i think he made on sixth.