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Old 08-19-2007, 08:49 AM
Heisenb3rg Heisenb3rg is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
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Default Re: hi guys, i get AK in a 30/60 game

[ QUOTE ]
heis, he coulda flopped a flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

I know, srry; I wrote this in a rush and explained it poorly.

Flush was implicit in "monster".

I meant to argue that its unlikely he has a set or two pair so it's probabily a flush or a pair with a kicker diamond (against others its like always a flush).

Since many people do not cap here without A diamonds or two pair+; Id weight his range stronger towards a made flush.

However, since there are many more QJ/QT/Q9 JT9, 77//88 of diamond combinations than flush combinations, even if only 20% of players cap them, our equity is still pretty decent against his weighted range. (You are also WAY ahead of the hands youre are ahead of).

Im guessing Your equity against these weighted ranges is between 40-60%. However, this doesnt necessarily make it a check because a lot of pairs are checking behind the turn if you check and your equity when raised is still ~20%..

Hope I clarified it a little better now.
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