$200NL. Nut Flush. WTF?!?!?

[cbboy]

Villain is 25/6/0.4 over like 50 hands or so. WTF do I do on the river?!?!? PF, flop and turn are standard I assume?


Party Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$1/$2 Blinds
5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

<u>Hero (SB): $453.30</u>
BB: $281.75
UTG: $200.00
<u>CO: $455.66</u>
BTN: $206.88

Preflop: Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG folds, CO checks, BTN calls $2.00, Hero calls $1.00, BB checks

Flop: ($8) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $5.00</font>, BB folds, CO calls $5.00, BTN calls $5.00

Turn: ($23) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $18</font>, CO calls $18.00, BTN calls $18.00

River: ($77) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $55</font>, CO calls all-in for $430.66, BTN folds, Hero…?!?!

[carnivalhobo]

looks like an easy fold

[Ben86]

good god toss it, he doesnt have the ace and hes not value shoving the 8

[cbboy]

So basically all we beat is a bluff here, right? Doesn't this make the overbet here pretty +EV against thinking players since its unlikely that I (they) have the straight flush? Does your opinion change if hes a standard 2p2 TAG (24/20/3 or whatever)?

[carnivalhobo]

[ QUOTE ]
So basically all we beat is a bluff here, right? Doesn't this make the overbet here pretty +EV against thinking players since its unlikely that I (they) have the straight flush? Does your opinion change if hes a standard 2p2 TAG (24/20/3 or whatever)?

[/ QUOTE ]

yea except that he has to know that you dont have the T a huge % of the time, and most people dont think to turn hands they get here with into bluffs.

[Bukem_]

[ QUOTE ]
looks like an easy fold

[/ QUOTE ]

[Ben86]

[ QUOTE ]
So basically all we beat is a bluff here, right? Doesn't this make the overbet here pretty +EV against thinking players since its unlikely that I (they) have the straight flush? Does your opinion change if hes a standard 2p2 TAG (24/20/3 or whatever)?

[/ QUOTE ]

you took a bet/bet/bet line also, i think may encourage your having the A

[loveminuszero]

I hate the bet on the river. I'd check and only call if his bet was small

[cbboy]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
So basically all we beat is a bluff here, right? Doesn't this make the overbet here pretty +EV against thinking players since its unlikely that I (they) have the straight flush? Does your opinion change if hes a standard 2p2 TAG (24/20/3 or whatever)?

[/ QUOTE ]

you took a bet/bet/bet line also, i think may encourage your having the A

[/ QUOTE ]

Wouldn't that make it a pretty good overbet by a TAG then?

[Ben86]

no there is another player behind you