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  #1  
Old 10-08-2006, 11:01 AM
Wadofella Wadofella is offline
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Default Advice on blackjack variance

Hi,

I'm in the process of clearing my first ever casino bonus via Blackjack (CON to be exact, using the Crypto strategy from wizardofodds).

I need to wager $4,000. So far I've wagered $350 ($1 at a time) & I'm currently $50 down. That seems ridiculous to me & at that rate I'd lose then entire bonus plus my entire deposit before I even met the WR.

Anyway, here's my question: Is that kind of variance normal for BJ whoring? Never having tried it before I'd like to know if this is typical or unusual. Anecdotal stories welcome.

Thanks
Wado
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  #2  
Old 10-08-2006, 12:11 PM
Antti Antti is offline
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Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

50 credit downswings betting 1 credit a hand within 350 hands is very standard, coming from tens of thousands of hands of experience. You've just been running pretty bad. Just make sure the BJ variant you're playing doesn't have some strange rules that make the HA 20% or something like that. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #3  
Old 10-08-2006, 12:22 PM
matt85 matt85 is offline
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Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

Nothing to worry about, completely standard.
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  #4  
Old 10-08-2006, 12:25 PM
MadMat MadMat is offline
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Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

Heh it gets a lot worse than that . . .

The good thing is that varience goes the other way too! just make sure you are following the chart accurately - I reckon most of the "bad varience" we get reported on here is more down to people tilting, chasing losses and not following the chart!

FWIW I blew £400 trying to clear a bonus with roulette yesterday, took less than an hour playing £1 red and £1 even! (Glad most of it was bonus)

Mat
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  #5  
Old 10-08-2006, 01:31 PM
Wadofella Wadofella is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
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Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

Thanks for those replies so far.

The game I'm playing is a private table on the Casino On Net 21 Blackjack game. I'm using this chart, which I gather is the correct one, although it actually mentions Crypto:

http://wizardofodds.com/blackjack/st...yptologic.html

Am now $25 down after approx $700 wagered so recovered a bit.


regards
Wado
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  #6  
Old 10-08-2006, 02:09 PM
ninenine_zoe ninenine_zoe is offline
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Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

hi wado,
you use the correct strategy card. whatever, i would look at casinobonuspages for the correct strat cards. in this case they are identical but you never know.
good luck
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  #7  
Old 10-08-2006, 02:25 PM
OrianasDaad OrianasDaad is offline
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Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

Two years of whoring bonuses at the microlimits, and it took a week of blackjack to really teach me the meaning of the word "variance".

It's an experience that every poker player should experience sometime.
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  #8  
Old 10-08-2006, 03:32 PM
MadMat MadMat is offline
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Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

If you like Blackjack - try doing a few videopoker bonuses! You'll never complain about the varience in blackjack again [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Mat
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  #9  
Old 10-09-2006, 10:15 PM
latefordinner latefordinner is offline
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Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

pontooooon
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  #10  
Old 10-09-2006, 10:44 PM
vilemerchant vilemerchant is offline
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Posts: 613
Default Re: Advice on blackjack variance

Man. $1 bets? Double your EV per hour and do a couple shifts at McDonalds.
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