FTP $24 - feels like a fold but ICM says...

[alex-star]

Both shorties are on a suicide missing and so is the CO with a stunning 75/20 after 50 hands. ICM sez it's close even with 100% call from the BB, but do I wait for a better spot?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t200/t400
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: t4890
CO: t5205
Hero: t1160
SB: t1645
BB: t600

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
2 folds, Hero ??

[darinvg]

Fold fast. You just have to wait for good cards since you have little to no FE.

[RRizGod]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold fast. You just have to wait for good cards since you have little to no FE.

[/ QUOTE ]

[IlliniDave]

Cards suck so I would fold; I would balance what ICM says with some aspect of card strength. Thoughts?

[lwrunner103]

[ QUOTE ]
Cards suck so I would fold; I would balance what ICM says with some aspect of card strength. Thoughts?

[/ QUOTE ]

You are misunderstanding the point of ICM. If a push with bad cards makes you money, then do it. The only reason I can think of folding is that a better situation will come up next hand.

[Shillx]

It looks like we should push about 35% of the time and the SB should call maybe 28% of the time.

[LeadbellyDan]

Huh? Assuming BB is calling 100% I cant get SnGPT to make this a push whatever range we put SB on.

What we should push doesnt actually change a great deal for different SB calling ranges. As Shillx said we should push around 35-40% here.

[Mcmatto]

i fold...... u have 3 hands to catch a better spot