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#1
05-11-2007, 08:02 PM
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PokerStars 10B celebration : 9,900,000,000 prediction thread
OK, it's awfully early but I thought I'd set my first prediction for the new promotion.
Currently, hands are clipping away at 14K/hour which means my first, very crude, estimate is: Hand 9.9B will come at around ... Sunday May 15 at 2:00 PM ET This is awfully crude because it will take a while to see how this promotion affects the average hands/hour during different times of day. In any even, Sunday should be the first big day. Since bonuses will be given away every hour or so (unlike every 10-12 hours last year) there's probably not much point setting up groups of 6, but feel free. If you do want to start up a group of reliable folders and want to maximize your tables, the cheapest "high" buy-ins are at the "Fixed" $15/$30 level (min $150 buyin), the cheapest "Medium" is PL/NL $1/$2 (min $40 buyin), and the cheapest "Low" is Fixed $0.50/$1 (min $5 buyin). Note: high-speed tables have faster animations, so you can fold more hands/hour. Finally, the whole thing will probably be over by next Friday (May 18). Good Luck! 
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#2
05-11-2007, 08:49 PM
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Re: PokerStars 10B celebration : 9,900,000,000 prediction thread
Could someone estimate the $/hr bonus that is earned by going for any of these milestone hands? It seems pretty low to me at first glance, besides the 10B hand.
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#3
05-11-2007, 09:06 PM
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Re: PokerStars 10B celebration : 9,900,000,000 prediction thread
(hands per hour) * (total bonus money) / number of players / 1.000.000.
For example, on a 6-max low stakes table: 100 * 1500 / 6 / 1.000.000 = 2.5 cents / hour. Virtually nothing.
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#4
05-12-2007, 01:14 AM
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Re: PokerStars 10B celebration : 9,900,000,000 prediction thread
Yes, the prize money for individual milestones isn't high enough to justify organizing a group of folders (that final one is though).
Based on my experience from the 5B celebration a good group of folders can increase their chance of hitting a milestone hand to at least 1 in 50 each time. At medium stakes, Goldstars can earn about $3900/6/50 = $13/hour. The real benefit of all this is the double VPP/FPPs and all the extra fish.
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#5
05-12-2007, 04:48 AM
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Re: PokerStars 10B celebration : 9,900,000,000 prediction thread
Last time this promo went it was amazing. i was still playing 50 then and it was like 4 handed i raised K4 bb called i missed flop. GUY had no clue about the bonus was just confused that the hand was stalled before it started he mucked flop and i took in like 3200 with K high. Since then -90k on stars. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] .
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#9
05-13-2007, 12:30 PM
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Re: PokerStars 10B celebration : 9,900,000,000 prediction thread
[ QUOTE ]
Yes, the prize money for individual milestones isn't high enough to justify organizing a group of folders (that final one is though). Based on my experience from the 5B celebration a good group of folders can increase their chance of hitting a milestone hand to at least 1 in 50 each time. At medium stakes, Goldstars can earn about $3900/6/50 = $13/hour. The real benefit of all this is the double VPP/FPPs and all the extra fish. [/ QUOTE ] Doesn't there have to be a rake to get points?
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#10
05-13-2007, 12:54 PM
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Re: PokerStars 10B celebration : 9,900,000,000 prediction thread
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Yes, the prize money for individual milestones isn't high enough to justify organizing a group of folders (that final one is though). Based on my experience from the 5B celebration a good group of folders can increase their chance of hitting a milestone hand to at least 1 in 50 each time. At medium stakes, Goldstars can earn about $3900/6/50 = $13/hour. The real benefit of all this is the double VPP/FPPs and all the extra fish. [/ QUOTE ] Doesn't there have to be a rake to get points? [/ QUOTE ] I meant the benefit of the celebration itself, not the organized folding.
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