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  #1  
Old 09-16-2007, 10:04 AM
MrBump MrBump is offline
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Default NL10 - flopped set, not sure what to do on turn

Villain is 35/0.5/0.85 over 300 hands, so very passive

I bet strong on the flop to cut the odds of anyone drawing to his flush. When the club did in fact come on the turn, I was pretty unsure of the best action to take.

TIA


Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $1.80
BB: $24.05
UTG: $10.20
Hero (UTG+1): $10.00
MP1: $12.85
MP2: $11.20
MP3: $10.70
CO: $10.80
BTN: $11.65

Preflop: Hero is dealt 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (9 Players)
UTG calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.10, CO folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $0.50</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, MP3 folds

Flop: ($1.75) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $1.40</font>, BTN folds, UTG calls $1.40

Turn: ($4.55) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero ?
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  #2  
Old 09-16-2007, 10:43 AM
DrMega DrMega is offline
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Posts: 171
Default Re: NL10 - flopped set, not sure what to do on turn

I'd check behind and hope to boat up. This is often enough a flush or a straight that we don't want to get check raised. Plus UTG might bet worse hands on the river (QX, two pair) and allow us to call profitably.

OTOH, I always put people on a flush here, and I'm wrong enough to be leaving money on the table I'm sure.
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  #3  
Old 09-16-2007, 10:54 AM
justscott justscott is offline
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Posts: 410
Default Re: NL10 - flopped set, not sure what to do on turn

Bet the turn.
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  #4  
Old 09-16-2007, 11:19 AM
canvasbck canvasbck is offline
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Default Re: NL10 - flopped set, not sure what to do on turn

I would lead out around $3 on the turn. Fold to a check raise, especially this villain. If called, the plan is to check behind river on non-paired board, or call a reasonable bet.
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  #5  
Old 09-16-2007, 11:36 AM
Specialwon Specialwon is offline
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Default Re: NL10 - flopped set, not sure what to do on turn

No reason to automatically assume he has the flush and a str8 seems somewhat unlikely (J9 or 97). You are ahead more often than you are behind against a calling station who more often than not has some low pair or nothing here.

I bet 4 on the turn planning to get it all in on any non-club river. If he decides to raise, a call will put you all in. If that happens you are almost certainly behind but you will have 10 outs. The pot needs to offer you about 3.5 to 1 to call in that scenario. With less than 4 bucks left to bet into a pot of around 18 bucks, you have all the odds you need to draw.

It's a crime to give a sucker a free card, so don't do it!
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  #6  
Old 09-16-2007, 12:32 PM
ship_it_trebek ship_it_trebek is offline
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Default Re: NL10 - flopped set, not sure what to do on turn

[ QUOTE ]
I would lead out around $3 on the turn. Fold to a check raise, especially this villain. If called, the plan is to check behind river on non-paired board, or call a reasonable bet.

[/ QUOTE ]
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