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  #1  
Old 11-30-2007, 12:06 PM
Spurious Spurious is offline
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Default River value bet in BB vs BTN

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $25.20
UTG: $8.60
MP: $49.95
CO: $37.75
BTN: $40.45
SB: $20.10

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
3 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $1</font>, SB folds, Hero calls $0.75

Flop: ($2.10) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $1.50</font>, Hero calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.10) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($5.10) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets...?</font>


Villain was 34/24/2

how much do we bet on the river?
I know he could have nothing, but in case he has something, how much do we bet?
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  #2  
Old 11-30-2007, 12:10 PM
ShipitFMA ShipitFMA is offline
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Default Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN

bet/fold 3.5
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  #3  
Old 11-30-2007, 03:10 PM
jkkkk jkkkk is offline
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Default Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN

3bets pf but I don't hate the call

as played bet 3 on the river, calling a raise prob
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  #4  
Old 11-30-2007, 03:12 PM
Check_The_Nuts Check_The_Nuts is offline
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Default Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN

check, he won't try to bluff you I wouldn't worry about it too much.

edit: As in the only thing he's likely to valuebet on the river here is AK, and if he's attention to steal is high at all he'll probably figure he gets looked up too often if he's got 66 or whatever.
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  #5  
Old 11-30-2007, 03:18 PM
Check_The_Nuts Check_The_Nuts is offline
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Default Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN

see, look:

Board: Ks Td 8c Qh 2d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 73.684% 57.89% 15.79% 33 9.00 { 22, AKs, KJs, K9s, AKo, KJo }
Hand 1: 26.316% 10.53% 15.79% 6 9.00 { KJs }

He only has to be thin valuebetting K9 to make this a call if he bets something like 1/2 pot. Add in any bluffs at all and it makes it a snap call.

k9soooted. If he's betting all K9's then its an easy call. If you valuebet your only really getting called by K9 AQ maybe QJ. I doubt he'd even look you up with JJ or Q9. Seems to thin if he's aggro at all. Actually if he calls with any QJ then the vbet isn't thin at all. If he does then your making mad money. Could do something like half pot and hope that he doesn't bluff raise you.
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