Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > Medium Stakes

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-20-2007, 05:01 PM
FionnMac FionnMac is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,922
Default Strange spot with AA

SB is a 23/19/3 reg, BB is a huge fish 65vpip. Wtf am i sposed to do here?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $10 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

BB ($774.75)
UTG ($1069)
MP ($1787.75)
CO ($2645.25)
Hero ($995)
SB ($1084.50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $40</font>, SB calls $35, BB calls $30.

Flop: ($120) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $95</font>, SB calls $95, BB calls $95.

Turn: ($405) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $300</font>, BB calls $300, Hero?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-20-2007, 05:06 PM
coldi coldi is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 36
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

This is indeed strange. I dont see villain (SB) having a 6 here very often rather 77/33 but maybe hes just trying to see where he stands with 88/99 or maybe 55..

BB can have about everything, from a gutshot to a made sixes full. I think calling is no option since either SB or BB will probably bet the river and if there is on of the many scarecards left, this spot becomes even uglier. i think i fold this, although shoving is an option as well (although by shoving u will probably not get paid out by pocket pairs, but by calling neither), but i think at least one of them has you beat.

just fold and see one of them show a set in the showdown
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-20-2007, 05:53 PM
FionnMac FionnMac is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,922
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

bump one time
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-20-2007, 06:10 PM
Melchiades Melchiades is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Norway (London currently)
Posts: 5,040
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

I think he will play an overpair like this a lot given the station in between you so he can valuebet him and put a lot of pressure on you. It also makes sense for him to sometimes call with a big hand preflop here given he doesn't want to push out BB, no?

Shove. We have lots of equity vs a range of boats overpairs and straights. I know SB will rarely call a shove with much worse, but BB will and the pot is already big.

I guess it comes down to how likely he is to play 88+ like this.

Board: 7s 6s 6d 3h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 71.455% 70.45% 01.00% 1550 22.00 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 28.545% 27.55% 01.00% 606 22.00 { 66+, 33, 76s, 54s }

Board: 7s 6s 6d 3h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.273% 49.27% 00.00% 542 0.00 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 50.727% 50.73% 00.00% 558 0.00 { 99-66, 33, 76s, 54s }
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-20-2007, 06:14 PM
whorasaurus whorasaurus is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: OMG EQUITYTOWN
Posts: 529
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

I would be very surprised to see SB leading turn with anything you beat tbh.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-20-2007, 06:17 PM
schwza schwza is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: get more chips than chips ahoy
Posts: 10,485
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

i would fold. i think the SB has you beat a pretty high %, and if he does, you're drawing very slim. and while BB is probably doing something dumb, he definitely can have a straight / FH / 6x. why would the SB lead out if he didn't have a very strong hand? he knows that the BB is going to call with a wide range.

i really doubt he's going to play a hand like 99 this way as another poster said. first, he's usually going to be 3betting (maybe calling more often to bring the fish in, but still often 3betting), and with this much action i think he's going to just check/fold if hero bets. this is a pretty bad board to double barrel, so i don't see him making this large bet.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-20-2007, 06:17 PM
whorasaurus whorasaurus is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: OMG EQUITYTOWN
Posts: 529
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

[ QUOTE ]
I think he will play an overpair like this a lot given the station in between you so he can valuebet him and put a lot of pressure on you. It also makes sense for him to sometimes call with a big hand preflop here given he doesn't want to push out BB, no?

Shove. We have lots of equity vs a range of boats overpairs and straights. I know SB will rarely call a shove with much worse, but BB will and the pot is already big.

I guess it comes down to how likely he is to play 88+ like this.

Board: 7s 6s 6d 3h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 71.455% 70.45% 01.00% 1550 22.00 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 28.545% 27.55% 01.00% 606 22.00 { 66+, 33, 76s, 54s }

Board: 7s 6s 6d 3h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.273% 49.27% 00.00% 542 0.00 { AdAs }
Hand 1: 50.727% 50.73% 00.00% 558 0.00 { 99-66, 33, 76s, 54s }

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm skeptical that overpairs are a large part of SB's range. Flatting PF, and c/c this flop multiway does not indicate 88-KK to me.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-20-2007, 06:21 PM
Melchiades Melchiades is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Norway (London currently)
Posts: 5,040
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

[ QUOTE ]
i really doubt he's going to play a hand like 99 this way as another poster said. first, he's usually going to be 3betting (maybe calling more often to bring the fish in, but still often 3betting), and with this much action i think he's going to just check/fold if hero bets. this is a pretty bad board to double barrel, so i don't see him making this large bet.

[/ QUOTE ]
Why? This is a super sexy play with JJ-99. Fish will call with lots he beat, and hero will really struggle to continue with anything but a monster.

I guess my ranges were kind of [censored], but still. I would love villains line in this hand with an overpair.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-20-2007, 06:24 PM
Melchiades Melchiades is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Norway (London currently)
Posts: 5,040
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

[ QUOTE ]
I'm skeptical that overpairs are a large part of SB's range. Flatting PF, and c/c this flop multiway does not indicate 88-KK to me.

[/ QUOTE ]
Forget my ranges, realize they were [censored]. But why is flatting here weird with a big'ish hand? Preflop, we raised and he does not want to push out BB. Flop, I guess he could lead overpairs a lot. But if he doesn't, he won't CR for the same reasons. Keep fish in the hand.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-20-2007, 06:25 PM
Melchiades Melchiades is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Norway (London currently)
Posts: 5,040
Default Re: Strange spot with AA

[ QUOTE ]
Nice fold.
SB played this hand perfect with anything that beats you.

[/ QUOTE ]
Also with JJ/TT apparently. Since he can valuetown BB and bluff out us at the same time.

Edit: Strange. The post I quoted got deleted?
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:17 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.