#1
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Interesting NCAA Pool format - advice needed
I need some help with an NCAA pool my buddies and I are doing. It's my first year in it so I have no prior experience. Here are the rules:
*8 man buy-in. *Each guy picks 8 teams in a snake draft format *Point per win for any of your teams *Most points gets 75% of payout *Whoever drafts the overall NCAA winner gets 25% I don't know my pick yet (the draft is Wednesday), but what teams do people like here. Things i'm looking for are 1) low rated teams that could likely go 2-3 rounds 2) high rated teams that have no chance of making elite 8 3) good value in the 10-13 range. I'm thinking that the 10-11 seeds are worth more than the 8-9. The 8-9 almost certainly gets hammered in the 2nd round, whereas the 10-11 could play a weak 2 (see memphis/wisky). Thoughts or advice appreciated. Snu |
#2
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Re: Interesting NCAA Pool format - advice needed
I'd look at George Washington; they are solid and if they get past Vandy I think Wash. State is very weak. Look for Memphis to fall early, they had a very weak schedule. Also, Kansas always loses in the tourney (granted, they're better than usual), so I would avoid them as well.
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#3
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Re: Interesting NCAA Pool format - advice needed
Do you get more points for picking a lower seed? I assume "yes" since you say you're looking to take a 10 or 11 seed but I don't see where you mention it.
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#4
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Re: Interesting NCAA Pool format - advice needed
If you picked 8th in the first round, you could probably get all 4 #1 seeds. I wonder what the EV would be of doing that and then picking the best overall teams with your other 4 picks and just going for winning the 25%.
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#5
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Re: Interesting NCAA Pool format - advice needed
[ QUOTE ]
If you picked 8th in the first round, you could probably get all 4 #1 seeds. I wonder what the EV would be of doing that and then picking the best overall teams with your other 4 picks and just going for winning the 25%. [/ QUOTE ] [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] |
#6
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Re: Interesting NCAA Pool format - advice needed
[ QUOTE ]
I'd look at George Washington; they are solid and if they get past Vandy I think Wash. State is very weak. Look for Memphis to fall early, they had a very weak schedule. Also, Kansas always loses in the tourney (granted, they're better than usual), so I would avoid them as well. [/ QUOTE ] I'm very curious about this Washington St. bias. What's your basis for this? Which side of the country do you live on? They got 2nd in the very competitive Pac-10 by two games. Their 5 league losses were by 3 at UCLA, 3 (OT) at Stanford , 3 (OT) vs Oregon, 5 at Oregon, and 8 vs UCLA. |
#7
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Re: Interesting NCAA Pool format - advice needed
Most rating systems have WSU nowhere close to a 3 seed, many have them ranked in the 30's. Getting destroyed by Utah doesn't help.
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#8
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Re: Interesting NCAA Pool format - advice needed
I live in the middle of the country (believe it or not, there is a middle, not just two sides) and I think that mainly because they are not an experienced tournament team. Also, they will have a tough road to the Sweet 16...ORU is underrated and either Vandy or George Wash. could knock off the Cougars.
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