Have I Discovered Another Mathematical Football Coaching Error?

[gumpzilla]

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I don't know how someone who can think logically wouldn't highly question all of those assumptions

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Questioning assumptions is good. There is an obvious assumption in your reasoning as well: "High level football coaches have already thought about all of this stuff and rejected it." I find that assumption highly questionable, too.

EDIT: Also, where do you cite stats for how frequency of 2 pt. conversions translates to success rates?