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#11
07-31-2007, 12:56 PM
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Re: River decision with toppair
I agree that bet/fold >>> check/call, but check/folding could be better I think. In this case I thought that villain was a straight forward tag, so I think it could have been right (obviously no way to know for sure).
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#12
07-31-2007, 12:57 PM
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Re: River decision with toppair
[ QUOTE ]
If you are betting you are probably losing money from that single bet because he is calling more often with an overpair then A-high (I think). [/ QUOTE ] I wonder if you have his range a little tight here. I know he is tight, but his PFR stat isn't extremely low. He should relise that you could/should be raising light PF and could/should 3-bang you accordingly. So I'm wondering if he could hold a pair lower than 8 (jack kicker) by the river. Heh, probably not I guess. Obv pocket sevens most likely if that's the case. Meh, a small amount of time I reckon this guy will have a pair smaller than eights.
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#14
07-31-2007, 02:15 PM
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Re: River decision with toppair
I'm assuming he is re-isolating here, he will realize you will raise any crap here, so he will 3 bet very light in position.
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#16
07-31-2007, 04:53 PM
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Re: River decision with toppair
[ QUOTE ]
I think check/folding this river isn't a bad play either against a villain without history. [/ QUOTE ] maybe, but given the PF dynamic (you raise light in post, he 3-bets light in response, presumably) I think folding top pair in a pot of this size is a mistake. I like the hand as played. if you turned a flush, were you planning on donking or C/R? I ask bc sometimes villain will check thru club scare card.
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