AJ hand, decision with short stack involved.

[Perk76]

Villan is 35/3/3 for a few hundred datamined hands. No personal history with him. I just sat at this table, posted my BB, and now the SB. I elected to just call from the SB since I just sat down and didnt have a feel for the table action.


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

Hero (SB): $49.50
BB: $63.35
UTG: $26.65
MP: $13.65
CO: $89.65
BTN: $31.95

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, CO folds, BTN calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks

Flop: ($2) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $1.50</font>, BB folds, MP calls $1.50, BTN folds

Turn: ($5) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $4.50</font>, MP calls $4.50

River: ($14) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">MP bets all-in for $7.15</font>, Hero ???

[gman339]

You are getting 3:1 call to see his K. At least 1 out of four times you'll see a worse 2 pair here.

[TheBobn]

I like a push on the river, there's a lot of two pair hands he could have by this point that he will call for a 1/2 pot bet; his range isn't limited to only a whiffed flush draw. Honestly I think the decision is closer between c/f and push than c/c or push. I think if you bet less on the turn you commit yourself less to the pot and make a c/f on the river a better play. The problem with this river is that a portion of whiffed club draws just now made a straight, while anything calling prior also has one. If you bet $3 on the turn pot is $11 making villain's push nearly $9 which makes c/f a better play on the river.

Obviously you don't know that a terrible river card is coming, but I think it makes the decision easier to have a more definitive bet.

[nutstoyou]

To me, anyone starting a hand with $13.65 when the buy-in is $50 is a very weak poker player (unless he just lost a hand and didn't have a chance to reload, which I'm assuming is not the case).

Who knows what he has been calling you with. I make this call, figuring it's about 50% chance he has a K and 50% chance this is a donk bet with a weaker hand than you have.

[wslee00]

all in on the river - lots of two pair hands that he would call that he wouldn't' bet.

[Man Our Units]

Wow I actually love your line here, the club draw whiffed and MP is a total villian, this is an easy call and even though you did not intend to you played the river correctly by c/c for max value I think.

[Rounder101]

Standard line. Probably shoving the river would be better, to give him 3-1 odds and force him to call with worse hands. By checking, we allow him to safe check his worse hands.