*** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

[Jazzy3113]

I like Philly, but I know some of you like Miami this week but an update:

The line just moved to 10.5

[kyro]

[ QUOTE ]
I like Philly, but I know some of you like Miami this week but an update:

The line just moved to 10.5

[/ QUOTE ]

It's at +10 (-105) at sportsinteraction which is where I'm placing all my bets for now. If it hits +10.5, I might toss another half unit on.

[NajdorfDefense]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I like Philly, but I know some of you like Miami this week but an update:

The line just moved to 10.5

[/ QUOTE ]

It's at +10 (-105) at sportsinteraction which is where I'm placing all my bets for now. If it hits +10.5, I might toss another half unit on.

[/ QUOTE ]

You've been a great audience, enjoy the John Beck Experience!

[BillNye]

At first glance I like:

OAK + 5.5 -110 @MN
NO + 1.5 -110 @HOU

Viking's are super demoralized. They just got crushed, Peterson is out, there is a rumor that Childress will be fired midseason. They are starting Tarvaris Jackson. They aren't selling the game out, it will be blacked out, I'm pretty big on OAK here.

NO vs HOU. Schaub + Johnson makes this interesting. I still think NO is a good team despite their loss to STL. I think they just got a slap back into reality after there 4 game win streak or w/e. I think they bounce back nicely as long as Bush is playing.

[Jazzy3113]

God I hope your right. Every week I make a large wager on a 4 team/13 pt teaser at 2:3 odds.

I have NO +14 and I wish I had waited to get em at 14.5. God I hope that doesnt come back to bite me.

[kyro]

[ QUOTE ]
Viking's are super demoralized. They just got crushed, Peterson is out, there is a rumor that Childress will be fired midseason. They are starting Tarvaris Jackson. They aren't selling the game out, it will be blacked out, I'm pretty big on OAK here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thankfully the Raiders are brimming with self-confidence after losing 5 in a row including last week where they got beat at the end by Rex 'OH GOD HE'S THROWING THE BALL' Grossman.

(Nickname thanks to kyrosmother who was heard uttering these words as Rex single-handedly tried losing her FF matchup despite being up 10 points.)

[kyro]

1u on Ravens +3 (-110)

Had to wait until it moved to the 3. The public is on the road favorite, so I'm going to take the home underdog. Plus, DVOA has the Ravens as a favorite here, surprisingly enough.

Seems to be a trend this year. A team will either be underrated or overrated the entire year, and then there's that one week where people go "wow, this team is actually better/worse than I thought" and completely overcompensate the other way.

I think this is happening with Cleveland and Baltimore at the same time. Cleveland was better than people gave them credit for, and Baltimore worse. After last week, people are beginning to see this but are overreacting. I don't see Cleveland as being 6 pts better than Baltimore. Cleveland's a decent team, but they're not great, and Baltimore's a bad team, but their D is good enough to keep them in some games.

Cleveland keeps it surprisingly close. Browns 17-15

[Jazzy3113]

Well, I can already see that I have set myself up for a huge loss.

I made a large bet on New Orleans @ Houston and line is moving EXACTLY like the det @ zona game. At first glance the Saints look like the better team. They are on the road. 70% of the nation is betting on them. And the lines moves IN THEIR FAVOR.

My question is this. How much do you think New Orleans will lose this game by. More specifically, do you think the saints can keep the score within 14 points?

[kyro]

[ QUOTE ]
More specifically, do you think the saints can keep the score within 14 points?

[/ QUOTE ]

This is kind of a silly question.

[Jazzy3113]

just gimmie your opinion on the game and make me feel better. the cardinals were 1 pt favorites and almost win by 17 so it is kinda relevant. Do you think it could be a blowout, simple poll.