200NL FT: flopped flush vs donk. Get CRAI on turn 200BB

[steel108]

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $205.75
BB: $202.75
UTG: $44.20
MP: $1,158.80
CO: $211.40
Hero (BTN): $399.00

Reads: <font color="blue">Villan is an uber donk... 55/15/3. He stacked me earlier in the session when he CRAI on the turn with a 7 on a 7-7-10 board when I had K-K. He seems to play very passive postflop: just called 3 bets with a flopped two pair when I flopped top set. Needless to say, his CRAI on the turn made me crap my pants. I'm running about 20/16/3 on this table.</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $2.00, MP calls $2.00, CO folds, Hero calls $2.00, SB folds, BB checks

Flop: ($9) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">MP bets $2.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $15.00</font>, 2 folds, MP calls $13.00

Turn: ($39) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $27.00</font>, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $1,141.80</font>, Hero ???

[steel108]

Hmmmmmmmm, this hand is my Carpal\Tunnel post. Better get some good feedback.

[TimberBee]

I don't see how you can do nothing but fistpump and call here? An AF of 3 isn't very passive either, and he is a donk... Plus, if you call, you have a good stack to get the rest of his chips...

[steel108]

Does the fact that he flat called 3 streets with top two change you opinion? Or am I putting too much emphasis on the two hands I listed?

[TimberBee]

[ QUOTE ]
Does the fact that he flat called 3 streets with top two change you opinion? Or am I putting too much emphasis on the two hands I listed?

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, I read it, and I still posted what I did, so no. But it sounds a little weird. HH?

[frenchfish]

AF of 3 is agressive for a 55/15.Looks like a marginal situation against a fish ,i think it depends of my mood at the time but the fact that we could be calling a megaovershove and be completely crush makes me sick in my stomach.I probably fold most of the time unless the fish is obviously drunk andout of his mind.

[thac]

Depends on how he plays his sets.. also I isolate preflop with a 55/15 with 200bb.

[steel108]

[ QUOTE ]
Depends on how he plays his sets.. also I isolate preflop with a 55/15 with 200bb.

[/ QUOTE ]

I have been isolating him all day and the other regs at the table have started 3betting me every time.

I have no clue how he plays sets. He CRAI on the turn w trips though (very dry board)

[goofyballer]

I'm leaning towards fold. I'd probably call if I had Q-high (arbitrarily chosen by my gut, someone can feel free to analyze preflop sooted card ranges to establish where the break-even point is for "he's equally likely to have a higher or lower flush than our hand") or better flush because I think he can play this way with any flush, but 8-high is fairly thin given that you only beat 3 flushes. He doesn't sound like the type to spew off here with the naked A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. He could have a set, but I think the only hand he will consistently play this way is a flush.

[keikiwai]

[ QUOTE ]
He seems to play very passive postflop

[/ QUOTE ]

how is this not a bigger flush 100% of the time?