PS: 10 Billionth Hand Promo Details

[antisocialgrace]

I'm only willing to do this on micros, if anyone else is interested PM me.

[Lyrrad]

Got close to 9.932 billion. Ended up with +380 and -192 Those hands started 2 seconds apart.

Anyone have an estimate of the % of hands that are play money/tournaments? I guess we could do random samples to get a close figure. I think it's about 1000 samples to get a margin of error within 3% with 95% accuracy. If we knew this, we'd be able to better estimate our chances of winning.

I just did a sample of 10 hands:
9932012000 - 9932012009
Of these, 4 are play money (no HH), 4 are tourney, and 2 are cash.

[aditya]

Is it worth it to be pushing if you hand is dealt in at say 100NL. If you have a full stack and you push, you lose 100, and ultimately only win 100. I can see how's its OK if its like 50 nl or 25nl.

[antisocialgrace]

[ QUOTE ]
Got close to 9.932 billion. Ended up with +380 and -192 Those hands started 2 seconds apart.

Anyone have an estimate of the % of hands that are play money/tournaments? I guess we could do random samples to get a close figure. I think it's about 1000 samples to get a margin of error within 3% with 95% accuracy. If we knew this, we'd be able to better estimate our chances of winning.

I just did a sample of 10 hands:
9932012000 - 9932012009
Of these, 4 are play money (no HH), 4 are tourney, and 2 are cash.

[/ QUOTE ]

if this sample is reflective of the overall numbers the chances of hitting are much higher than i thought.

I'm 12 tabling and i came within 006 one hand.

I'll be surprised if i don't hit between now and the 10 bill.

[devilbiss]

lol milestone hand just got dealt at a 6 max table with only 2 players dealt in

[devilbiss]

WOW

PokerStars Game #9934000000: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2007/05/15 - 21:48:14 (ET)
Table 'Beryl II' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 2: laser16 ($50.20 in chips)
Seat 3: StarRainy ($29.75 in chips)
laser16: posts small blind $0.25
StarRainy: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
greenglow2 joins the table at seat #6
laser16 said, "."
laser16 said, "i cant act"
greenglow2 leaves the table
Bagonirix joins the table at seat #6
StarRainy said, "hgahaha"
ethidium1 is disconnected
Bagonirix said, "where's the hand"
Dr.swseo leaves the table
laser16: folds
laser16 leaves the table
StarRainy collected $0.50 from pot
StarRainy: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $0.50 | Rake $0
Seat 2: laser16 (button) (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: StarRainy (big blind) collected ($0.50)

[Borgland]

lolo @ folding preflop HU on a winning promo hand!

[Borgland]

Just realised they didnt even know what was going on

[highendcollector]

Lucky Star

[Lyrrad]

So, how does it work if it's a NL table and say a $1 stack, $9 stack, and $10 stack go all in. and the $1 stack wins the main pot but the $9 gets the side pot. Who gets the bonus?

ETA:

I've done some more samples to figure out the proportion of cash hands:
For hands 9932012000-9932012039 (sample size 40)
7 cash, 15 tournament, 18 play money.
So, about 17.5% cash or about 1 in 6 hands are cash (but the 95% confidence interval is about 12% for the cash percentage so more sampling is needed to get a more accurate value)

Also this doesn't account for the increase in cash hands as the milestone hand approaches.