PS: 10 Billionth Hand Promo Details

[antisocialgrace]

[ QUOTE ]
asg - it was pointed out earlier in the thread that the numbers are somewhat deceiving.

The hand numbers include play-money and tournament tables.
But none of those are eligible for the milestone hand.


So if a given hand is only 3,000 off, probably half of those that came between you and the milestone weren't eligible anyway so you were really only 1,500 off.


That's a total approximation.
It's entirely possible that play-money and tournament hands actually account for more than 50%. I haven't bothered to look.


I don't understand what you're driving at in your other post.

Homer is pretty sharp about all of this stuff. And his approximation looks like a really good one to me.

[/ QUOTE ]

I had no idea the play money and tourney tables were included, so I'm the one way off then.

That said I don't know if he accounted for speed play in his calculation.

You think the number is about 6k tables then?

[antisocialgrace]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
odds of hitting it 1 time if you sat at 12 tables for all 100 hands?

[/ QUOTE ]

Wild ass guess...

1/6000 chance of hitting at each table, means 1-(5999/6000)^12 = .002 or .2% chance of hitting on one of the millions. if you sat 12 tables for each of the 100 chances, it'd be like 1-(.998)^100 = 18% chance of being at a table that hit at least one time.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you're closer than I thought, but what about speed play?

[highendcollector]

Is the possibility greater @ Speed tables?

[Homer]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
odds of hitting it 1 time if you sat at 12 tables for all 100 hands?

[/ QUOTE ]

Wild ass guess...

1/6000 chance of hitting at each table, means 1-(5999/6000)^12 = .002 or .2% chance of hitting on one of the millions. if you sat 12 tables for each of the 100 chances, it'd be like 1-(.998)^100 = 18% chance of being at a table that hit at least one time.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you're closer than I thought, but what about speed play?

[/ QUOTE ]

Numbers would be more optimistic at speed tables I think. To be honest I don't know if 6000 is the right number as I just guessed based on my minimal observations during play.

[thebeebster]

got dealt to a $2nl table. talk about making someone's day. bankroll x50.

[NU Star]

6000 is way to high IMO, I think there are only 16000 cash players at peak during the promotion.

[Borgland]

Administrator: MILESTONE HAND #9919000000 is about to be dealt at table Senta II, Hold-em NL $0.25/0.50. All players dealt in on this hand will receive a cash prize, and the winner of the hand will receive an additional cash bonus!

[devilbiss]

First time I've seen the whole table all in

PokerStars Game #9919000000: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2007/05/15 - 00:27:50 (ET)
Table 'Senta II' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: MrChicken ($150.15 in chips)
Seat 2: TexasTman ($29.40 in chips)
Seat 3: jepeto ($29 in chips)
Seat 4: XXCKXX ($27.25 in chips)
Seat 5: PrimordialAA ($24.05 in chips)
Seat 6: jonnyo17 ($25.60 in chips)
TexasTman: posts small blind $0.25
jepeto: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
TexasTman said, "sweet"
XXCKXX: raises $1.50 to $2
PrimordialAA: raises $22.05 to $24.05 and is all-in
jonnyo17: raises $1.55 to $25.60 and is all-in
MrChicken: raises $124.55 to $150.15 and is all-in
TexasTman: calls $29.15 and is all-in
jepeto: calls $28.50 and is all-in
XXCKXX: calls $25.25 and is all-in
*** FLOP *** [Kd Tc 5c]
*** TURN *** [Kd Tc 5c] [2d]
*** RIVER *** [Kd Tc 5c 2d] [3d]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
TexasTman: shows [As 9h] (high card Ace)
MrChicken: shows [Td 2s] (two pair, Tens and Deuces)
MrChicken collected $0.80 from side pot-4
jepeto: mucks hand
MrChicken collected $5.25 from side pot-3
XXCKXX: mucks hand
MrChicken collected $6.60 from side pot-2
jonnyo17: mucks hand
MrChicken collected $7.75 from side pot-1
PrimordialAA: shows [5s 5h] (three of a kind, Fives)
PrimordialAA collected $141.30 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $164.70 Main pot $141.30. Side pot-1 $7.75. Side pot-2 $6.60. Side pot-3 $5.25. Side pot-4 $0.80. | Rake $3
Board [Kd Tc 5c 2d 3d]
Seat 1: MrChicken (button) showed [Td 2s] and won ($20.40) with two pair, Tens and Deuces
Seat 2: TexasTman (small blind) showed [As 9h] and lost with high card Ace
Seat 3: jepeto (big blind) mucked
Seat 4: XXCKXX mucked
Seat 5: PrimordialAA showed [5s 5h] and won ($141.30) with three of a kind, Fives
Seat 6: jonnyo17 mucked

[Borgland]

Administrator: MILESTONE HAND #9920000000 is about to be dealt at table Sahade, 7 Card Stud H/L, Fixed limit, $10/20. All players dealt in on this hand will receive a cash prize, and the winner of the hand will receive an additional cash bonus!

[devilbiss]

First one I've seen on a non holdem table. Guess it makes sense with so many more holdem tables.