Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Tournament Poker > High Stakes MTT
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-18-2007, 04:07 PM
aaaaaaaa aaaaaaaa is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 177
Default what kind of odds do i need here?

Full Tilt Poker Game #3291095805: FTOPS Event #12 (23186107), Table 51 - 15/30 - No Limit Hold'em - 15:37:05 ET - 2007/08/18
Seat 1: tengol4life (5,592)
Seat 2: John_McClane17 (6,720)
Seat 3: fkscreennames (4,895)
Seat 4: wuddacooler (4,805)
Seat 5: sorryguy (4,720)
Seat 6: holla-athca-boy (5,350)
Seat 7: Sapster (4,895)
Seat 8: AJKHoosier1 (3,933)
Seat 9: da_professional (4,090)
holla-athca-boy posts the small blind of 15
Sapster posts the big blind of 30
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to fkscreennames [7h 5h]
AJKHoosier1 raises to 90
da_professional folds
tengol4life calls 90
John_McClane17 folds
fkscreennames has 15 seconds left to act
fkscreennames raises to 360
wuddacooler has 15 seconds left to act
wuddacooler raises to 960
sorryguy folds
holla-athca-boy folds
Sapster folds
AJKHoosier1 folds
tengol4life folds
fkscreennames:???? the reason i repopped was akjhoosier was raising a lot even from ep and the guy who called has flat-called a decent amount of time so far also my sn is unknown and i only played 1 hand so far and showed aq so i figured i have a lot of deception here and steal equity what do u guys think of this?

ok to my main question after i get 4 bet by a good player i put him on aa,kk what kind of odds do i need to call here i feel im going to stack him like everytime i flop the best hand except when i get sucked out on and maybe k75 k55 k77 boards but thats it. i think i need like 8 to 1 implied here right?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-18-2007, 04:09 PM
Requin Requin is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Back online
Posts: 6,446
Default Re: what kind of odds do i need here?

Closer to 20-1 I think.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-18-2007, 04:17 PM
TheNewf TheNewf is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,434
Default Re: what kind of odds do i need here?

[ QUOTE ]
Closer to 20-1 I think.

[/ QUOTE ]
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-18-2007, 05:10 PM
aaaaaaaa aaaaaaaa is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 177
Default Re: what kind of odds do i need here?

can u explain the math to me please
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 08-18-2007, 05:23 PM
shaundeeb shaundeeb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Head of Coaching Dept
Posts: 9,667
Default Re: what kind of odds do i need here?

ahh so that explains the convo on abs.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 08-18-2007, 05:44 PM
mikeJ mikeJ is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Back to Berkeley
Posts: 2,065
Default Re: what kind of odds do i need here?

You flop trips about 1 in 75 times, you flop two pair about 1 in 50. Total ~= 1 in 30, you'll flop two pair/trips.

You'll flop a flush draw OR 8 out straight draw about 15% of the time (this includes paired flops)

You'll flop a four flush AND a 3 out or 6 out straight draw about 2.6% of the time.

So basically, on ~5% of flops, you'll be happy to get it in. (2.6 + 3.33 ~= 5)

These numbers are taken from Mike Petriv's "Hold'em's Odd(s) Book". And, no, I'm not a book salesman.

Also, I just call preflop. Unless you are trying to get people to loosen up to your reraises or they will call reraises wide then c/f on lots of flop, I think you're better off trying to hit a big flop and win a big pot.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 08-18-2007, 07:27 PM
Vetgirig Vetgirig is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Sweden, Västerås
Posts: 152
Default Re: what kind of odds do i need here?

Re-raise preflop with 75s is a sure way to donk off some chips. Just call and hope you get a monster flop. Stacks are deep so go for doubling up by stacking the enemy instead of trying to steal a nearly empty flop. Why go for increasing the stack with 5% when one can go for increasing it with 100% ?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:50 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.