100NL: Value Bet River?

[Kos13]

No reads. Standard?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 9 Players

<u>MP3: $86.10</u>
<u>Hero (CO): $100.00</u>

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (9 Players)
3 folds, MP2 calls $1.00, MP3 calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.50</font>, 4 folds, MP3 calls $4.50

Flop: ($13.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP3 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $10.00</font>, MP3 calls $10.00

Turn: ($33.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP3 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $25.00</font>, MP3 calls $25.00

River: ($83.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP3 checks, <font color="red">Hero shoves for value</font>

[junkmail3]

check behind ... you're way ahead/way behind here, not worth it to push IMO.

[RyanCMU]

Only hands that beat you are a flush... I don't think he ever plays a full house or a bigger pair this way...

I like the river shove.

[Acein8ter]

[ QUOTE ]
check behind ... you're way ahead/way behind here, not worth it to push IMO.

[/ QUOTE ]

yup

[Klompy]

I check this, do we really expect a lower PP to pay us off more often then we get snap called by a flush or fh? FWIW I think we're good here the majority of the time, but I just don't think we get called by much that we beat.

[BigBiceps]

what Klompy said, but I like a bet of $20 here, which will get called by smaller overpairs or by very bad players with ace high.

[RyanCMU]

[ QUOTE ]
I check this, do we really expect a lower PP to pay us off more often then we get snap called by a flush or fh? FWIW I think we're good here the majority of the time, but I just don't think we get called by much that we beat.

[/ QUOTE ]

You think he plays a FH this way? And yea i think smaller pairs look this up...

[Klompy]

[ QUOTE ]
You think he plays a FH this way?

[/ QUOTE ]
I've scene stranger play, also I don't think we can count out a straight either. I'm not trying to find monsters in the closet here, I still think we're good 80%+ here, but just have a hard time thinking there's value. I do sorta like BB idea of a really weak 20$ bet here.