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#1
10-21-2007, 02:30 PM
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2 quick questions...
my brother and i were drunk, and betting on stupid, random props last night...
question #1: we had a bet on whether michigan would score on a possession. it went to 4th down, they punted, but the illinois guy muffed the punt, michigan recovered, and scored the next play. ruling? question #2: how horrible is it that i'm going to bet 3-4 units on the red sox tonight with the logic...if the tribe wins, [censored] the 3-4 units, my team's in the world series, if boston wins, i'm crushed, but up 2-3 units. answers? 
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#2
10-21-2007, 02:41 PM
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Re: 2 quick questions...
[ QUOTE ]
question #2: how horrible is it that i'm going to bet 3-4 units on the red sox tonight with the logic...if the tribe wins, [censored] the 3-4 units, my team's in the world series, if boston wins, i'm crushed, but up 2-3 units. [/ QUOTE ] I hedge like this all the time.
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#3
10-21-2007, 02:42 PM
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Re: 2 quick questions...
[ QUOTE ]
question #1: we had a bet on whether michigan would score on a possession. it went to 4th down, they punted, but the illinois guy muffed the punt, michigan recovered, and scored the next play. [/ QUOTE ] If the fumbled punt counted as a turnover, then the ensuing drive would be considered a separate possession. The team receiving the punt had possession (for some very short amount of time) and then the punting team regained possession. Would be the same as the case where somebody intercepted the ball, then fumbled it and the offense recovered it back.
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#4
10-21-2007, 02:42 PM
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Re: 2 quick questions...
1. Posession ended the moment the ball was kicked. I think I'd give the Michigan guy the win if they had actually scored on the kicking play though.
2. Don't see any problem with hedging your happiness
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#5
10-21-2007, 02:43 PM
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Re: 2 quick questions...
good. strangely enough, i told 3 people of my plan, and all 3 are following me..
how about question #1? did possession change? or does the muffed punt not count, and it goes back to the original drive?
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#6
10-21-2007, 02:45 PM
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Re: 2 quick questions...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] question #2: how horrible is it that i'm going to bet 3-4 units on the red sox tonight with the logic...if the tribe wins, [censored] the 3-4 units, my team's in the world series, if boston wins, i'm crushed, but up 2-3 units. [/ QUOTE ] I hedge like this all the time. [/ QUOTE ] I bet UNC v Illinois in the 2005 title game for that very reason
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#7
10-21-2007, 02:49 PM
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Re: 2 quick questions...
[ QUOTE ]
good. strangely enough, i told 3 people of my plan, and all 3 are following me.. how about question #1? did possession change? or does the muffed punt not count, and it goes back to the original drive? [/ QUOTE ] according to the yahoo drive log possession never changed hence, the 12 plays for 78 yards TD you got robbed...2 personal fouls and a muffed punt return to move the ball down the field... Illinois went from about 70% to win to 25% over that series of plays
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#8
10-21-2007, 02:51 PM
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Re: 2 quick questions...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] question #2: how horrible is it that i'm going to bet 3-4 units on the red sox tonight with the logic...if the tribe wins, [censored] the 3-4 units, my team's in the world series, if boston wins, i'm crushed, but up 2-3 units. [/ QUOTE ] I hedge like this all the time. [/ QUOTE ] Actually if you put a utility on happiness. This is optimal. You're either rich and sad or poor and happy. Meh.
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#10
10-21-2007, 03:04 PM
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Re: 2 quick questions...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] good. strangely enough, i told 3 people of my plan, and all 3 are following me.. how about question #1? did possession change? or does the muffed punt not count, and it goes back to the original drive? [/ QUOTE ] according to the yahoo drive log possession never changed hence, the 12 plays for 78 yards TD you got robbed...2 personal fouls and a muffed punt return to move the ball down the field... Illinois went from about 70% to win to 25% over that series of plays [/ QUOTE ] actually, i was on michigan. awesome argument the two of us had over a couple of bucks. that is exactly what i was looking for, actually...the drive log is what we were talking about as evidence one way or another.. my brother is a lurker here, and i will direct him to this thread promptly..
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