400: TT on the River

QTip · #1 10-10-2007, 05:32 PM

Villain is about 12/8/2

Poker Stars, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 7 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $443.80
BB: $406.95
UTG: $414.30
UTG+1: $176.35
MP: $854.90
Hero (CO): $668.65
BTN: $736.25

Pre-Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG raises to $12, 3 folds, Hero calls $12, 2 folds

Flop: ($28) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG bets $16, Hero raises to $40, UTG calls $24

Turn: ($108) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $60, UTG calls $60

River: ($228) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero ?

KurtSF · #2 10-10-2007, 05:40 PM

Check of course!

You're toast unless he has the FD, and if he does he's not calling anyway.

QTip · #3 10-10-2007, 05:43 PM

What range do you give him here?

QTip · #4 10-10-2007, 05:58 PM

Let me just come out and say it. I think he has JJ-KK here (maybe AKs clubs) about every time. That said, I'm losing almost always, but it's rare he has a hand that he wants to get heavily involved. I think a push is in order here.

KurtSF · #5 10-10-2007, 06:01 PM

Frankly I think AK is his most likely holding.

I'm having a real tough time narrowing his range from the action. I guess I don't understand it well. But I don't see him making the turn call with 44, 55, 88, 99.

Making the hands you beat from a 12/8 UTG like K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. Maybe some other big suited cards if he was getting wiley. And if he called the turn with QQ or KK I think he'll call the river too, so I don't think there's much FE.

$0.02

KurtSF · #6 10-10-2007, 06:05 PM

Typed my post before I saw yours.

I agree KK and QQ and likely, I guess the difference is whether he will fold them.

I don't think he has to have only AcKc, maybe AcKx. You can raise the flop with any pair or a FD, so a call is OK with AK there if he thinks you'll bet again.

GrandMelon · #7 10-10-2007, 06:07 PM

185

KurtSF · #8 10-10-2007, 06:09 PM

GM, what do you think he has?

GrandMelon · #9 10-10-2007, 06:15 PM

nothing good enough to call a big river bet, probably JJ-KK

Mr_Donktastic · #10 10-10-2007, 06:19 PM

Can you explain why you raised so little on the flop? Or why you bet smallish on the turn? The bet sizing seems really bad to me.