5/10 top 2 v passive nit

HoosierAlum · #1 07-21-2007, 09:40 AM

5/10 Stars

Table is playing v tight, villian is nitty. 17/9 over 70 hands. Effective stacks 1k. I think the turn and river decisions are both interesting.

Hero raises to 40 from co with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]10[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], bb calls.

Flop A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

Villian donks 70, hero calls.

Turn: 10[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Villian bets 140, hero calls. ???

River: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Villian checks, hero.......???

jpsnow · #2 07-21-2007, 09:53 AM

I cant think of a heart that the villan has on this river. I like a call on flop and turn. He may be taking a bet 3bet line w/ a set on the flop hoping you raise your A.

The only hand Im really worried about is Jh10x. He may also have 9h9x. I think he probably checks both on the river.

This is a tough spot. Betting is probably better to get him to fold 99, and J, weak hearts. Can he call here without the K of hearts?

Tillerman112 · #3 07-21-2007, 09:56 AM

i think he wont fold his low flush too often so i just c/b and hope my 2pair is good.

jpsnow · #4 07-21-2007, 10:02 AM

He is a nit, I think he is folding most low flushes here. What can you really put him on if he does have one? No hearts really make sense here except JhTx or 9h9x. I guess he could have 54h or something, but that most def is folding here.

Maulik · #5 07-21-2007, 10:35 AM

[ QUOTE ]
i think he wont fold his low flush too often so i just c/b and hope my 2pair is good.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you don't think he would fold a low flush why would you c/b?

Maulik · #6 07-21-2007, 10:40 AM

Pre: I'm not sure what kind of hands he's playing oop.
Flop: My guess is a tag is going to c/r you with a set, it's probable you'll c/bet with a wide range. Given this line it feels as though he has AxQh or AxKh AxJh and is trying to prevent a heart from slowing his action and importantly realizing it's unlikely his hand can stand further heat.
Turn: He fired into you again, making his Ax+heart hands seem more likely, he can't risk giving you a free card and his hand still figures to be best.
River: If he does have a flush, does he have more value betting the nut flush or proving hero an opportunity to bluff. As it is bad TAGs bluff the river against nits here.