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#21
10-30-2007, 08:09 AM
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Intended as a reply to TT\'s main post
PF I just don't like (sorry).
Anyway, my first instinct on the turn was to 3-bet. I know you could be in trouble, but given your description of BB, she could easily have QT, Q9, KJ, AJ, AQ. Yes it could also be the same hand as you or KQ. But if she hand any hand like a set or 2 pair on the flop, is she just going to call a flop bet on a monotone board? I think she'd have to raise. So on the turn we can assume she's got a Q and has made the same or better straight as you. Given that, I guess my 3-bet initial thought is not correct. I believe calling both the turn raise and a river bet is ok here. I see a chop here enough to call one more bet on the river. (sorry - I meant to post this a reply to the main post) 
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#22
10-30-2007, 05:57 PM
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Re: Hollywood Park 15/30 - OESF draw and nut straight on flop
pf is fine. betting the flop into a field is fine. you shouldnt 3 bet the turn doesnt really accomplish much. on the river a c/c is probably most prudent.
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#23
10-30-2007, 07:00 PM
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Re: Hollywood Park 15/30 - OESF draw and nut straight on flop
[ QUOTE ]
pf is fine. betting the flop into a field is fine. you shouldnt 3 bet the turn doesnt really accomplish much. on the river a c/c is probably most prudent. [/ QUOTE ] While it would be unreasonable for her to bet a dry Q here, she still might. She might also be betting something silly like AJ. Or even 9T because she's frustrated. I don't expect to win this hand, but I'm certainly calling. We don't really think she raised a set on a 89TJ board, do we? Could she have KQ? Of course. Could she have a flush? Seems like that is the most probable holding. Q(89TJ) is also a likely holding. I think you're winning lke 10-20% of the time, chopping 40-50% and losing 40-50%.
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