good spot for river c/r?

[Hoopster81]

10/20 6-max

Villain is 30/18/3 over 70 hands. This was from awhile ago, so I can't remember any history and doubt there was any.

Hero: $2100
Villain: $2800

UTG folds, Hero raises A:[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] to $70, CO folds, Villain calls, blinds fold.

Flop ($170) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Hero bets $140, Villaiin calls

Turn ($450) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Hero bets $385, Villain calls

River ($1220) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Hero checks... (has $1550 behind)

or do you put him on Ax and think I am losing value?

[Jojje_2k]

Just bet

[YouMyBoy]

no, bet

[Terrabon98]

i would bet...he has Ax here way more than something like busted flush draw...if he has two pair, you're gonna get paid off anyway

[Josh.]

good spot for a blocking bet methinks

[chirpy]

[ QUOTE ]
good spot for a blocking bet methinks

[/ QUOTE ]

i presume you mean a "blocker" to induce him to push river rather than genuinely looking for a cheap showdown here?!

either way id just pot the river, its the type of board he should look you up light on

[TheWorstPlayer]

i'd shove, but that goes well with my game. most people should probably check. most people will value bet AK here anyways, if they are any good...

[Josh.]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
good spot for a blocking bet methinks

[/ QUOTE ]

i presume you mean a "blocker" to induce him to push river rather than genuinely looking for a cheap showdown here?!

either way id just pot the river, its the type of board he should look you up light on

[/ QUOTE ]


potting is pretty silly with these stacks

and the way the hand played out, i just don't know what he's paying off a shove with. most people are 3-betting AQ preflop and not paying off the river, so i really think the best hand he can have other than a chop is like AT. i guess we can hope he makes a hero call with TT or AT. but a blocking bet might induce a shove, and it looks like a "i have a busted draw and i think you have a busted draw so ill bet small" bet

i'm actually probably underestimating ohw often he makes a hero call since his hand looks so weak and he should know that

[Hoopster81]

[ QUOTE ]
he has Ax here way more than something like busted flush draw

[/ QUOTE ]

debatable

fake blocker is interesting, but I don't really use blocking bets much period

[skoldpadda]

I think you need to value bet the river. With a set, he should've raised flop or turn with the str and flush draws present. Get paid.