200nl - AK flops TP and faces heat from aggro opponent.

[Fat Nicky]

villain here is 32/25/2.3. haven't played much with him so no history. he raises c-bets 10% and folds 55%.

his showdown stats are 30/45.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$1/$2 Blinds
5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $128.40
BB: $200.00
UTG: $60.40
Hero (CO): $246.70
BTN: $405.80

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7.00</font>, BTN calls $7.00, 2 folds

Flop: ($17) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $14.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $28.00</font>, Hero calls $14.00

Turn: ($73) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $35.00</font>, Hero calls $35.00

River: ($143) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $100.00</font>, Hero ????

i feel like he 3-bets strong Aces pre-flop most of the time. i guess he could be capable of cold-calling w/suited As pre-flop.

i can't really see him having a draw based on flop and turn action. draws usually don't min-raise then bet small on future streets. i especially don't think and aggro opponent would do this as they usually bet play their draws stronger when they wanna get aggressive with them.

i called the turn because he bet so little, thought maybe he could be trying to get to showdown cheaply w/a medium A or AJ or something. his river bet is strong though, and once I call the river, i can't see him thinking he can bluff me off my hand here. but alas, his aggro stats and shoddy showdown stats make me wanna call here.

thoughts?

[apunisher]

i would c/r and get it in on the turn, that 9 is a great card for you

[Fat Nicky]

[ QUOTE ]
i would c/r and get it in on the turn, that 9 is a great card for you

[/ QUOTE ]

not sure i'm crazy about this. i explained in my OP why i don't think villain is on a draw, and if he's not on a draw, we're way ahead/way behind. and i'm not sure if he'll call w/worse.

range for villain in your view?

[Fat Nicky]

bump once.

[pineapple888]

I'm hard-pressed to find a call here. It's worth considering giving up on the turn. Either this is an uber-sophisticated 3-street move by someone against whom you have little history, or you are well and truly crushed, and I think the latter is much more likely.

[all_in_lam]

man as played river is a call.

i would have tried to get in more money earlier either on turn or flop if im goign to play it

[Bulletproof Monk]

we lose to nothing here imo

3bet the flop

bet the turn, c/r the turn

bet the river, c/r the river

[Nick Royale]

I'm never ever folding this. You're behind 88/A9 only. And one quad combo. Question is how to get to sd. I'm thinking making a delayed call on the turn hoping to induce one more bluff on the river is fine. C/r turn is fine as well. Just don't fold the river ever.

[all_in_lam]

we have to put him on a draw a large % of the time to call, hence i dont think check callign down the turn is a good idea

[Nick Royale]

[ QUOTE ]
we lose to nothing here imo

3bet the flop

bet the turn, c/r the turn

bet the river, c/r the river

[/ QUOTE ]
Yeah, 3-betting flop is fine as well. Don't really care, don't fold and try to get your opponent to put as much money in as possible with draws.