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#1
02-06-2007, 10:44 PM
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Consistent Losing
First off let me say this is not one of those “my friend” posts that is actually about me LOL… I got my roommate into sports betting after he watched me do pretty well on the NFL/NCAAF season. He’ll spend a good 2-3hrs a day researching games and stats and spreads about $100/day over various games. His only problem is he’s about 5/25 picking NBA/NCAAB thus far and is getting really discouraged. I’ve given him the basic lectures about money management etc., NBA isn’t really my cup of tea but I’ll take a college game every now and then. I’ve told him to maybe tone it down a bit until MLB season starts up and then I can help him a little more. In the mean time, what I can tell this kid to aid his handicapping game? Thanks 2+2ers 
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#4
02-06-2007, 11:35 PM
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Re: Consistent Losing
Of course nobody could ever be that bad, so that's the first bit of good news.
If it continues, suggest that maybe he's researching the exact stats that BSPs naturally look at and to look for a different set of stats to base his picks on Lori
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#5
02-07-2007, 12:22 AM
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Re: Consistent Losing
Yes, 5-of-25 flipped around the other way is winning 20 out of 25 games, damn awesome.
Just encourage him to continue picking the way he's been doing, but you tell him you will actually place the bets. Then just change them to the other side = PROFIT.
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#6
02-07-2007, 01:01 PM
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Re: Consistent Losing
[ QUOTE ]
First off let me say this is not one of those “my friend” posts that is actually about me LOL… I got my roommate into sports betting after he watched me do pretty well on the NFL/NCAAF season. He’ll spend a good 2-3hrs a day researching games and stats and spreads about $100/day over various games. His only problem is he’s about 5/25 picking NBA/NCAAB thus far and is getting really discouraged. I’ve given him the basic lectures about money management etc., NBA isn’t really my cup of tea but I’ll take a college game every now and then. I’ve told him to maybe tone it down a bit until MLB season starts up and then I can help him a little more. In the mean time, what I can tell this kid to aid his handicapping game? Thanks 2+2ers [/ QUOTE ] That's why its gambling. Have you ever considered maybe he should just quit? Or make $5 bets till he proves he's a winner?
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#7
02-07-2007, 01:07 PM
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Re: Consistent Losing
A monkey throwing darts could pick 50% winners. He's been running very badly to hit only 20% of his picks. Regression to the mean says he should win 40 of his next 75 bets. He needs to increase his bet size to plan for this upcoming winning streak.
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#8
02-07-2007, 06:43 PM
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Re: Consistent Losing
[ QUOTE ]
A monkey throwing darts could pick 50% winners. He's been running very badly to hit only 20% of his picks. Regression to the mean says he should win 40 of his next 75 bets. He needs to increase his bet size to plan for this upcoming winning streak. [/ QUOTE ] I think your sarcasm will be lost on the OP. and if you are serious...
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#9
02-07-2007, 07:23 PM
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Re: Consistent Losing
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] A monkey throwing darts could pick 50% winners. He's been running very badly to hit only 20% of his picks. Regression to the mean says he should win 40 of his next 75 bets. He needs to increase his bet size to plan for this upcoming winning streak. [/ QUOTE ] I think your sarcasm will be lost on the OP. and if you are serious... [/ QUOTE ] I was joking. OP, ignore me.
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#10
02-07-2007, 10:44 PM
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Re: Consistent Losing
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] A monkey throwing darts could pick 50% winners. He's been running very badly to hit only 20% of his picks. Regression to the mean says he should win 40 of his next 75 bets. He needs to increase his bet size to plan for this upcoming winning streak. [/ QUOTE ] I think your sarcasm will be lost on the OP. and if you are serious... [/ QUOTE ] I was joking. OP, ignore me. [/ QUOTE ] Nah, move up where they respect your bets.
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